Daniel Crenshaw
RDefeatedIncumbentFEC H8TX02166
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Raised this cycle$2.7M
Cash on hand: $43K
All Texas races
2026 race
TX-02 — U.S. House
6 active candidates on file with the FEC. Incumbent: Daniel Crenshaw.
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Democratic primary · Tuesday, March 3, 2026
Called by audit: web-verified
Shaun FinnieWon100.0%
Republican primary · Tuesday, March 3, 2026
Called by audit: web-verified
Steve TothWon55.8%
- RDaniel Crenshaw· inc.Defeated40.6%
- RMartin EtwopDefeated
- RNicholas Lee PlumbDefeated
Election day
135days
Tuesday, November 3, 2026
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Disclosed money in race
$6.0M
Candidate + outside spending. See finance breakdown below.
Incumbent
Currently in office
Challengers
Sorted by fundraising
Shaun Finnie
DChallengerFEC H6TX02251
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Raised this cycle$2.6M
Cash on hand: $1.5M
Steve Toth
RChallengerFEC H6TX08175
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Raised this cycle$698K
Cash on hand: $124K
3 defeated candidates — show
Martin Etwop
RDefeatedChallengerFEC H2TX08232
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Raised this cycle$14K
Cash on hand: $-2
Nicholas Lee Plumb
RDefeatedChallengerFEC H6TX02236
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Raised this cycle$9K
Cash on hand: $3K
Jameson Ellis
RDefeatedChallengerFEC H2TX08158
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Raised this cycle$6K
Cash on hand: $0
Local signal
Early read on TX-02 — U.S. House
A directional read on where this seat is trending, from the signals we have so far. This is an early scaffold — more inputs light up as coverage and constituent activity accrue.
Coverage tone · the matchup
Recent news coverage of the nominees heading to the general election.
Shaun Finnielimited coverage
No tracked coverage in the last 90 days yet.
Steve Tothleans negative
0 pos2 neutral1 neg3 articles
A media signal, not a poll of the district.
Constituent stakes
No one here has staked a position on a tracked vote yet. As neighbors weigh in on /pressure campaigns, the district's lean will show up here.
Money in the race
Finance breakdown
Disclosed funding shaping this race — both the money candidates raise themselves and the outside spending dropped by independent groups. Issue-ad spending by 501(c)(4) groups is excluded; the FEC doesn't require disclosure of it. See the note below for details.
Total disclosed
$6.0M
Candidate fundraising + independent expenditures (FEC).
Candidate-direct (Schedule A)
$6.0M
Raised by candidate committees themselves.
Outside spending (Schedule E)
$0
No outside spending reported yet.
| Candidate | Raised directly | Outside for | Outside against | Net in corner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Shaun Finnie(D) | $2.6M | — | — | $2.6M |
Steve Toth(R) | $698K | — | — | $698K |
4 defeated candidates — show finances
| Candidate | Raised directly | Outside for | Outside against | Net in corner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Daniel Crenshaw(R)incumbentdefeated | $2.7M | — | — | $2.7M |
Martin Etwop(R)defeated | $14K | — | — | $14K |
Nicholas Lee Plumb(R)defeated | $9K | — | — | $9K |
Jameson Ellis(R)defeated | $6K | — | — | $6K |
Where the money comes from
In-state vs out-of-state
Share of each candidate's itemized individual contributions from donors inside TX versus the rest of the country. Excludes sub-$200 unitemized donations (no geography on file) and PAC money — see note below.
Shaun Finnie(D)40% in-state · $647K itemized
$261K in-state$386K out-of-state
Steve Toth(R)97% in-state · $846K itemized
$818K in-state$28K out-of-state
2 defeated candidates — show
Daniel Crenshaw(R)defeated49% in-state · $1.8M itemized
$858K in-state$892K out-of-state
Jameson Ellis(R)defeated88% in-state · $4K itemized
$4K in-state$500 out-of-state
What's counted, what isn't
Candidate-direct is each campaign's reported receipts on FEC Schedule A — individual contributions plus PAC contributions to the candidate's own committee — through the most recent filing.
Outside spending is independent expenditures on FEC Schedule E: money spent by PACs, super PACs, and party committees for or against a candidate, without legal coordination with the campaign. The committees listed under each candidate are the largest disclosed spenders on either side.
In-state vs out-of-state covers only itemized individual contributions — donations over $200, which are the only ones that carry a contributor address at the FEC. Sub-$200 unitemized donations (often a large share for grassroots campaigns) have no geography on file and are excluded, as is PAC money. So the percentages describe where a candidate's itemized individual money comes from, not where every dollar raised comes from.
Not counted: 501(c)(4) "social welfare" organizations run issue ads that frequently mention candidates by name but aren't classified as express advocacy under FEC rules — they file no Schedule E and don't appear in this breakdown. Press reporting on a race may cite figures that include this dark-money spending; ours doesn't.
Recent coverage
In the news
About this race page
Candidate roster is sourced from the FEC's active-candidate list for the 2026 cycle. Fundraising totals reflect committee filings through the last reporting period.
Alignment % compares the candidate's extracted policy positions against your quiz answers. Positions are pulled from the candidate's campaign issues page by AI; we save the source quote for each position so you can verify the extraction. Candidates without a campaign issues page show position data pending — we're working through the roster and re-checking stale extractions every 90 days.
News coverage is from the GDELT 2.0 global news feed, filtered to a curated list of national, political, and regional outlets.