John R. Carter
RIncumbentFEC H2TX31044
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Raised this cycle$1.5M
Cash on hand: $159K
2026 race
TX-31 — U.S. House
3 candidates on the November ballot. Incumbent: John R. Carter.
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See where these candidates stand — and who's funding them.
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How we got here · 2 earlier contests
Democratic primary · Tuesday, March 3, 2026
Called by audit: web-verified
Justin EarlyWon57.6%
- DStuart Norman WhitlowDefeated42.4%
Republican primary · Tuesday, March 3, 2026
John R. CarterWon59.7%
- RValentina Gomez NoriegaDefeated10.9%
- RAbhiram GarapatiDefeated6.6%
- RSteven Clay DowellDefeated6.2%
- RRaymond HamdenDefeated5.9%
- ROffer Vince ShlomiDefeated4.2%
- RWilliam AbelDefeated2.5%
- RDavid Lee BerryDefeated2.3%
- RElvis Arturo LossaDefeated0.7%
Election held
Counting
Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Results appear here once a race is called and verified. Official returns from the Texas Secretary of State.
Make sure you can vote
Disclosed money in race
$2.9M
Candidate + outside spending. See finance breakdown below.
Incumbent
Currently in office
Challengers
Sorted by fundraising
Justin Early
DChallengerFEC H6TX31094
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Raised this cycle$292K
Cash on hand: $21K
Greg Stoker
IChallengerFEC H6TX31169
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Raised this cycle$89K
Cash on hand: $9K
9 defeated candidates — show
Offer Vince Shlomi
RDefeatedChallengerFEC H6TX31151
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Raised this cycle$334K
Cash on hand: $0
Stuart Norman Whitlow
DDefeatedChallengerFEC H4TX31081
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Raised this cycle$204K
Cash on hand: $0
Raymond Hamden
RDefeatedChallengerFEC H6TX31086
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Raised this cycle$146K
Cash on hand: −$2K
Valentina Gomez Noriega
RDefeatedChallengerFEC H6TX31078
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Raised this cycle$123K
Cash on hand: −$29K
Abhiram Garapati
RDefeatedChallengerFEC H0TX31030
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Raised this cycle$55K
Cash on hand: $39K
Steven Clay Dowell
RDefeatedChallengerFEC H6TX31128
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Raised this cycle$51K
Cash on hand: $185
David Lee Berry
RDefeatedChallengerFEC H6TX31144
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Raised this cycle$37K
Cash on hand: $0
Elvis Arturo Lossa
RDefeatedChallengerFEC H6TX31177
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Raised this cycle$11K
Cash on hand: $4K
William Abel
RDefeatedChallengerFEC H6TX31136
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Raised this cycle$8K
Cash on hand: −$120
Local signal
Early read on TX-31 — U.S. House
A directional read on where this seat is trending, from the signals we have so far. This is an early scaffold — more inputs light up as coverage and constituent activity accrue.
Coverage tone · the matchup
Recent news coverage of the nominees heading to the general election.
John R. Cartermixed
0 pos2 neutral0 neg2 articles
Justin Earlylimited coverage
No coverage in our tracked outlets in the last 90 days.
A media signal, not a poll of the district.
Constituent stakes
No one here has staked a position on a tracked vote yet. As neighbors weigh in on /pressure campaigns, the district's lean will show up here.
Money in the race
Finance breakdown
Disclosed funding shaping this race — both the money candidates raise themselves and the outside spending dropped by independent groups. Issue-ad spending by 501(c)(4) groups is excluded; the FEC doesn't require disclosure of it. See the note below for details.
Candidate fundraising: FEC reports through October 14, 2026 · 2025–26 cycle
Total disclosed
$2.9M
Candidate fundraising + independent expenditures (FEC).
Candidate-direct (Schedule A)
$2.9M
Raised by candidate committees themselves.
Outside spending (Schedule E)
$64K
$64K for · $0 against
| Candidate | Raised directly | Outside for | Outside against | Net in corner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
John R. Carter(R)incumbent + CONSERVATIVE FUTURE FUND $55K + TEXAS ALLIANCE FOR LIFE FED PAC $54 | $1.5M | $55K | — | $1.6M |
Justin Early(D) + INDIVISIBLE PROJECT INC. $9K | $292K | $9K | — | $300K |
Greg Stoker(G) | $89K | — | — | $89K |
9 defeated candidates — show finances
| Candidate | Raised directly | Outside for | Outside against | Net in corner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Offer Vince Shlomi(R)defeated | $334K | — | — | $334K |
Stuart Norman Whitlow(D)defeated | $204K | — | — | $204K |
Raymond Hamden(R)defeated | $146K | — | — | $146K |
Valentina Gomez Noriega(R)defeated | $123K | — | — | $123K |
Abhiram Garapati(R)defeated | $55K | — | — | $55K |
Steven Clay Dowell(R)defeated | $51K | — | — | $51K |
David Lee Berry(R)defeated | $37K | — | — | $37K |
Elvis Arturo Lossa(R)defeated | $11K | — | — | $11K |
William Abel(R)defeated | $8K | — | — | $8K |
Where the money comes from
In-state vs out-of-state
Share of each candidate's itemized individual contributions from donors inside TX versus the rest of the country. Excludes sub-$200 unitemized donations (no geography on file) and PAC money — see note below.
John R. Carter(R)38% in-state · $942K itemized
$357K in-state$585K out-of-state
Justin Early(D)89% in-state · $45K itemized
$40K in-state$5K out-of-state
Greg Stoker(G)51% in-state · $42K itemized
$21K in-state$20K out-of-state
8 defeated candidates — show
Offer Vince Shlomi(R)defeated0% in-state · $500 itemized
$0 in-state$500 out-of-state
Stuart Norman Whitlow(D)defeated91% in-state · $11K itemized
$10K in-state$1K out-of-state
Raymond Hamden(R)defeated97% in-state · $30K itemized
$29K in-state$1K out-of-state
Valentina Gomez Noriega(R)defeated27% in-state · $10K itemized
$3K in-state$7K out-of-state
Steven Clay Dowell(R)defeated86% in-state · $18K itemized
$15K in-state$3K out-of-state
David Lee Berry(R)defeated98% in-state · $11K itemized
$11K in-state$200 out-of-state
Elvis Arturo Lossa(R)defeated100% in-state · $1K itemized
$1K in-state$0 out-of-state
William Abel(R)defeated100% in-state · $2K itemized
$2K in-state$0 out-of-state
What's counted, what isn't
Candidate-direct is each campaign's reported receipts on FEC Schedule A — individual contributions plus PAC contributions to the candidate's own committee — through the most recent filing.
Outside spending is independent expenditures on FEC Schedule E: money spent by PACs, super PACs, and party committees for or against a candidate, without legal coordination with the campaign. The committees listed under each candidate are the largest disclosed spenders on either side.
In-state vs out-of-state covers only itemized individual contributions — donations over $200, which are the only ones that carry a contributor address at the FEC. Sub-$200 unitemized donations (often a large share for grassroots campaigns) have no geography on file and are excluded, as is PAC money. So the percentages describe where a candidate's itemized individual money comes from, not where every dollar raised comes from.
Not counted: 501(c)(4) "social welfare" organizations run issue ads that frequently mention candidates by name but aren't classified as express advocacy under FEC rules — they file no Schedule E and don't appear in this breakdown. Press reporting on a race may cite figures that include this dark-money spending; ours doesn't.
Where they stand
Issue-by-issue comparison
Positions extracted from each candidate's campaign issues page by AI. Contested rows — where candidates disagree with each other — appear first.
| Statement | Carter | Early | Stoker | You |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Abortion Each state should set its own abortion laws. | — | |||
Criminal Justice The federal government should send more money to local police departments. | — | |||
Economy Reducing the national debt should be a higher priority than new spending. | — | |||
Foreign Policy The U.S. should spend more on the military. | — | |||
Guns All gun sales — including private ones — should require a background check. | — | |||
Guns Civilian ownership of AR-15-style rifles should be restricted. | — | |||
Guns Federal law should authorize court-issued red-flag orders allowing temporary firearm removal from people deemed a danger. | — | |||
Guns Ghost guns and unfinished firearm components should be regulated as firearms under federal law. | — | |||
Healthcare The government should provide healthcare for everyone. | — | |||
Immigration The U.S. should do more to enforce immigration laws and secure the border. | — | |||
Immigration The H-1B visa program for high-skilled foreign workers should be expanded. | — | |||
Monetary Policy The Federal Reserve should be subject to comprehensive congressional audit of its monetary operations. | — | |||
Governance & Other There should be term limits for senators and representatives. | — | |||
Taxes People making over $400,000 a year should pay higher taxes. | — | |||
Technology There should be a national law protecting personal data online. | — | |||
Trade U.S. trade policy should reduce economic interdependence with China, especially on technology and critical minerals. | — |
SupportsOpposesNo public positionRinged = confirmed by the campaign
About this race page
Candidate roster is sourced from the FEC's active-candidate list for the 2026 cycle. Fundraising totals reflect committee filings through the last reporting period.
Alignment % compares the candidate's extracted policy positions against your quiz answers. Positions are pulled from the candidate's campaign issues page by AI; we save the source quote for each position so you can verify the extraction. Candidates without a campaign issues page show position data pending — we're working through the roster and re-checking stale extractions every 90 days.
News coverage is from the GDELT 2.0 global news feed, filtered to a curated list of national, political, and regional outlets.