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Prediction track record
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Crossing the aisle
No party-break passage votes recorded for Ashley Hinson. Either they've voted with Republicans on every substantive passage vote in the corpus, or their tenure overlaps few high-threshold party-line votes so far.
Hinson Introduces House Rules Change to Ban Members from Participating in Prediction Markets
Position: Congresswoman Hinson supports a House Rules change to prohibit Members of Congress, congressional staff, and House officers from participating in prediction markets, arguing that members should not be able to use insider knowledge for financial gain.
Washington, D.C. — Today, Congresswoman Ashley Hinson (IA-02) introduced legislation to amend House Rules and prohibit Members of Congress, congressional staff, and House officers from entering into agreements tied to the outcome of specific events—effectively banning participation in prediction markets.
Led by Senator Bernie Moreno (R-OH), the Senate has already taken action to prohibit similar conduct under its own rules, and this legislation would ensure the House follows suit. This measure builds on Hinson's broader push to promote accountability in government by supporting the bipartisan PREDICT Act.
"Members of Congress shouldn't be able to use insider knowledge to make a profit. We should take immediate action to ensure DC politicians can't make money off of policies they are influencing. I am calling on our House Republican leadership to bring this to the floor immediately — it should receive unanimous support." — Congresswoman Ashley Hinson
Read the full bill text here.
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House Passes Farm Bill with Key Iowa Ag Priorities Championed by Hinson
Position: Congresswoman Hinson supported passage of the bipartisan Farm Bill, which includes provisions addressing input costs for farmers, conservation practices, protections against out-of-state agricultural mandates, and provisions to advance year-round E15 fuel.
Washington, D.C. — Congresswoman Ashley Hinson (IA-02) released the following statement after fighting to ensure key Iowa priorities were included in this year’s bipartisan Farm Bill:
“Agriculture is the backbone of Iowa, and right now our farmers are hurting—higher input costs, tighter margins, and more uncertainty are squeezing producers. That’s why I fought tooth and nail to make sure this Farm Bill delivers for Iowa, including pushing back on California’s Prop 12 overreach—stopping out-of-touch activists from dictating how Iowa farmers do their jobs and driving up costs for pork producers—alongside my PRECISE Act to help farmers cut inputs and get more out of every acre.
“In addition to securing a vote on the bipartisan Farm Bill today after many in my own party tried to delay it, the entire Iowa delegation worked to ensure a vote on nationwide, year-round E15 ASAP. Our producers have waited long enough; it’s time to deliver the certainty they deserve.” — Congresswoman Ashley Hinson
BACKGROUND:
Congresswoman Hinson fought to include several Iowa-focused priorities in the Farm Bill to support farmers, strengthen rural communities, and lower costs:
PRECISE Act – Expands access to precision agriculture tools through USDA conservation programs, helping farmers reduce input costs, improve efficiency, and get more out of every acre.
Flood Resiliency and Land Stewardship Act – Supports commonsense conservation practices and strengthens flood mitigation efforts to protect farmland and rural infrastructure.
Save Our Bacon Act – Pushes back on California’s Prop 12 overreach by ensuring Iowa pork producers are not subject to costly, out-of-state mandates that disrupt interstate commerce and drive up food prices.
In addition, the Farm Bill includes provisions inspired by Hinson’s efforts to strengthen American agriculture supply chains and reduce reliance on foreign adversaries. This builds on her previous appropriations work directing the U.S. Department of Agriculture to assess vulnerabilities in critical agricultural inputs and develop strategies to secure domestic production.
Hinson will continue working to advance year-round, nationwide E15 to expand markets for Iowa biofuels, support farmers, and lower prices at the pump for consumers. The congresswoman worked relentlessly to secure a commitment from House leadership to have a vote on the year-round E15 policy the week of May 11, 2026.
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Hinson Reintroduces Federal Lobbying Ban to Root Out Corruption in DC
Position: Congresswoman Hinson supports legislation that would impose a five-year ban on senior Executive Branch employees from lobbying their former agency and a lifetime ban on lobbying for foreign governments or foreign-controlled companies.
Washington, D.C. — Congresswoman Ashley Hinson (R-IA-02) reintroduced bipartisan legislation, the Promoting the Unbiased Role of Employees in the Executive Act (PURE Executive Act), with Congressman Jared Golden (D-ME-02).
The bipartisan bill imposes a five-year ban on senior Executive Branch employees from lobbying an agency where they were employed. It also creates a lifetime ban on senior Executive Branch employees lobbying for foreign governments or companies tied to them.
“Washington insiders shouldn’t be able to leave their taxpayer-funded posts and use their status to immediately cash out and lobby their politician friends, and they should never be able to use sensitive U.S. intelligence to benefit a foreign adversary. This is exactly the kind of corruption Iowans sent me to Congress to root out – we have to drain the swamp and clean up Washington.” — Congresswoman Ashley Hinson
“Senior government officials’ decisions should be about serving their country — not how to position themselves for the most profitable, influential job possible after they leave civil service. Further restricting these leaders from immediate lobbying gigs will help ensure they keep their eyes on the actual prize: better outcomes for working families." — Congressman Jared Golden
Background:
Right now, there aren’t many limits on Executive Branch officials. Some can lobby for foreign companies or governments — or even go back and lobby the same agency they just left.
Current law puts short bans in place — 1 year for some officials and 2 years for the most senior — but those rules don’t go far enough. In many cases, they can still work on behalf of foreign interests.
The PURE Executive Act expands the lifetime foreign lobbying ban to include any foreign entity or corporations controlled by foreign governments, and implements a 5 year ban from lobbying their former agency.
Read the full text of the bill here. Read Rep. Hinson’s latest push to root out corruption in DC here.
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Hinson Joins Rollins, Lutnick, Zeldin, Burgum to Discuss Push to Strengthen Domestic Fertilizer Market
Position: Rep. Hinson advocates for federal policies to lower fertilizer input costs for farmers through increased domestic production, reduced consolidation in the agricultural industry, and improved price transparency in fertilizer markets.
Washington, D.C. — Congresswoman Ashley Hinson (IA-02) joined U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Brooke Rollins, U.S. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick, EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin, and U.S. Secretary of Interior Doug Burgum for a press conference to highlight her relentless legislative efforts to lower input costs, boost domestic production, and increase competition in the fertilizer market for Iowan and American farmers.
— Remarks as Delivered —
"Good afternoon everyone. I'm so excited to be up here with this dream team of people who are helping to fix these problems surrounding fertilizer. It definitely impacts our Iowa farmers.
"There’s nothing I hear more about than input costs right now from our folks back home. It's because decades of offshoring production and consolidation in the ag industry have left our farmers squeezed...
"if you're taking one thing, [to] the farmers watching, to the people today who are up here today, is that we hear you and we are here to fix these problems for you.
"Iowa farmers also know this isn’t a problem that appeared overnight – these fertilizer prices have increased exponentially, as the senators said, over the last several years, creating not only that uncertainty, but, let's face it, razor-thin profit margins, if profit at all, and we need to reverse that trend.
"I’m grateful to the president, Secretary Rollins, this entire team from the cabinet who is here, to show what we're doing to lower those costs for our producers, but there is more to do.
"The secretary talked about the short term, but again, there is more to do in the long term, so I am thrilled to have partners to work with across the rotunda to make sure we can get these policies through in Congress.
"We need to do more to bring our U.S. fertilizer production... to build out capacity for not only small, but mid-sized fertilizer processors, and ensure that we are promoting competition and price transparency.
"I’m proud to lead several bipartisan initiatives in Congress to grow our domestic supply and improve price transparency in our fertilizer markets.
"We know that our farmers are feeding and fueling the world, we talked a lot about that [today]. Secretary Burgum, you talked about food security being national security - energy security is national security. I won’t stop fighting until our farmers get the relief and transparency that they deserve." — Congresswoman Ashley Hinson
Watch the full exchange HERE.
Read more about Rep. Hinson’s recent work on fertilizer costs and competition HERE, HERE, and HERE — and watch her recent exchange with Secretary Rollins HERE.
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Hinson Advances Third Bipartisan Push to Lower Fertilizer Costs, Boost U.S. Production
Position: Congresswoman Hinson supports legislation to expand domestic fertilizer production capacity for small and mid-sized producers through USDA grants and loans, with the goal of increasing competition, lowering costs, and reducing market concentration among major fertilizer companies.
Washington, D.C. — Congresswoman Ashley Hinson (R-IA-02) helped introduce bipartisan legislation alongside Congressman Eric Sorensen (D-IL-17) to expand capacity for domestic fertilizer production for small- and mid-sized fertilizer producers.
Right now, just four major companies control more than 75 percent of the global fertilizer market, leaving farmers with fewer choices and higher prices. Companion legislation was introduced by Senators Marshall (R-KS) and Klobuchar (D-MN) in the U.S. Senate.
“American farmers are struggling, and we should be using every option available to increase competition and grow our domestic supply of inputs like fertilizer. That’s why I’ve helped introduce this bipartisan bill that will help lower costs, shore up our supply chains, and break the chokehold a handful of companies have over the fertilizer market. I will not stop fighting until Iowa farmers get the relief and transparency they deserve.” — Congresswoman Ashley Hinson
“Our farmers are already dealing with tight margins and unpredictable markets—and global conflicts are only making things worse. When fuel and fertilizer prices spike, it hits our farmers first. This bill is about cutting through those challenges by investing in American production, lowering costs, and giving farmers more certainty so they can keep doing what they do best.” —Congressman Eric Sorensen
Background:
The Homegrown Fertilizer Act would direct U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) to provide grants and loans—up to $100 million per project—to help small- and mid-sized fertilizer producers have a real financial backing and make these projects succeed. Specifically, it would:
Require dollar-for-dollar private sector match, ensuring companies have skin in the game, and includes safeguards to prevent consolidation, requiring repayment if a supported facility is later sold to a large fertilizer company.
Hinson has led efforts to increase transparency and accountability in fertilizer markets, including introducing the Fertilizer Research Act and the Fertilizer Transparency Act to shine a light on factors driving high fertilizer costs and strengthen oversight for Iowa farmers. The congresswoman also addressed the need for long-overdue transparency in fertilizer markets with Secretary Brooke Rollins as she testified before the House Appropriations Committee.
Read the full text of the bill here.
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ICYMI: Hinson Pushes for Fertilizer Transparency, Greater Competition, and Lower Input Costs at Appropriations Hearing
Position: Rep. Hinson advocates for increased transparency in fertilizer markets through a bipartisan Fertilizer Transparency Act to combat industry consolidation and high input costs for farmers, and supports maintaining adequate FSA office staffing and services.
Washington, D.C. — Yesterday, Congresswoman Ashley Hinson (IA-02) questioned U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) Secretary Brooke Rollins before the House Appropriations Ag-FDA Subcommittee, advocating for greater transparency and competition in fertilizer markets, as well as the critical role FSA offices play in supporting Iowa farmers.
On the need for greater transparency and more competition in fertilizer markets:
"Thank you, Madam Secretary, for being here. I appreciated your comments about E-15. We love that access to that market, and our farmers need that help.
"Of course, you talked about it—it is a tough time for the farm economy right now, and it is under real strain…fertilizer prices obviously continue to be top of mind for our farmers in Iowa. Many of the concerns that I’m hearing from my folks back home are about consolidation in the fertilizer industry. A few companies are dominating the market.
"And then, of course, we see someone like Mosaic say, 'Hey, we’re going to idle these facilities,' at a time when our farmers are paying through the roof for these input prices. I just don’t think that’s right.
“We know this isn’t a problem that happened overnight—you acknowledged that in your opening statement as well. I think we do need to take some quick action here to make sure we’re improving price transparency around fertilizer in those markets...We have a piece of legislation that would force some transparency in this—a bipartisan, bicameral Fertilizer...Transparency Act—so we can get those numbers out weekly. ”
On protecting Farm Service Agency (FSA) offices for Iowa farmers:
"Really quickly, in the time that I have left—you already touched on, a little bit with FSA offices and how important those are to our farmers on the ground. I think we need to make sure that as we are looking at a very very tough budget year, that we’re not cutting back on those services to our farmers.
"So can you walk us through your own vision to make sure that adequate staffing is there on the ground at the FSA office?”
Secretary Brooke Rollins:
"I think of all the things we do, I’m not sure that there’s anything more important than making sure that we have an on-the-ground team that can do everything they can to help these farmers move the funding through and access the programs that they need.”
Watch the full exchange here. Read more about Rep. Hinson’s legislative pushes to level the playing field and lower costs for ag inputs like fertilizer HERE and HERE.
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Hinson Supports Bipartisan Bill Banning Federal Officials from Insider Political Gambling
Position: Congresswoman Hinson supports the PREDICT Act, which would ban senior federal officials, including Members of Congress, from trading on prediction markets tied to political events or government actions, with civil penalties for violations.
Washington, D.C. — Congresswoman Ashley Hinson (IA-02) joined a bipartisan group of colleagues in cosponsoring the Preventing Real-time Exploitation and Deceptive Insider Congressional Trading (PREDICT) Act, an effort aimed at banning senior federal government officials, including Members of Congress, from engaging in insider prediction market trading.
“I can’t think of anything swampier than Members of Congress or other federal officials using insider knowledge to gamble on prediction markets — Americans should be able to trust that their representatives aren’t making money on current events. That’s why I’m working across the aisle to ensure Members of Congress and other senior federal officials cannot gamble on prediction markets. I will continue my fight to root out corruption in Washington." — Congresswoman Ashley Hinson
Background:
Specifically, the PREDICT Act would bar senior federal government officials from placing trades on prediction markets tied to political events, policy decisions, or other government actions, including the following:
Members of Congress, their spouses, and dependent children;
The president and vice president;
Political appointees in the Executive Branch, including those in executive schedule roles.
Anyone who violates these restrictions would face a civil penalty equal to 10 percent of the value of the prohibited transaction, in addition to forfeiting any profits to the U.S. Treasury.
The full text of the PREDICT Act can be found here.
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Hinson Leads Legislative Push to Bring Fairness & Transparency to Fertilizer Market for Farmers
Position: Congresswoman Hinson supports legislation requiring the USDA to collect and publish weekly fertilizer price data from manufacturers to increase market transparency and competition for farmers facing high input costs.
Washington, D.C. — Yesterday, Congresswoman Ashley Hinson (IA-02) joined Congressman Dusty Johnson (SD-AL) to introduce the bipartisan Fertilizer Transparency Act to give American farmers access to timely and accurate information on fertilizer prices. Specifically, this bill would require the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) to collect and publish data on fertilizer prices from manufacturers on a weekly basis. Currently, USDA conducts an annual voluntary survey on the prices that producers pay for inputs.
“Our ag economy is facing real challenges and producers are struggling to make ends meet amid historically high input costs and current market conditions. Despite this uncertainty, our farmers continue to work tirelessly to feed and fuel the world, and they deserve greater predictability. The bipartisan Fertilizer Transparency Act will provide long-overdue price transparency in fertilizer markets while promoting greater competition in the ag economy.” — Congresswoman Ashley Hinson
Companion legislation was introduced by Senators Thune (R-SD), Grassley (R-IA), Klobuchar (D-MN), and Baldwin (D-WI). This bill is also cosponsored by Reps. Brad Finstad (MN-01), Angie Craig (MN-02), Mariannette Miller-Meeks (IA-01), Nikki Budzinski (IL-13), Josh Riley (NY-19), Randy Feenstra (IA-04), Jimmy Panetta (CA-19), Sharice Davids (KS-03), Zach Nunn (IA-03), and Eric Sorensen (IL-17).
This legislation builds on Hinson’s longstanding efforts to improve transparency and competition for ag inputs. In September, Hinson reintroduced the bipartisan Fertilizer Research Act to require USDA to study competition and market trends in the fertilizer industry.
Bill text can be found here.
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Washington, D.C. — Congresswoman Ashley Hinson (IA-02) released the following statement after tonight’s vote on a 60-day continuing resolution for DHS:
"The Washington way of doing things is totally broken – Democrats shutting down our homeland security apparatus for over a month is shameful but it’s on both parties to break this impasse and find a real solution. I have consistently voted to fund DHS, pay our TSA agents, ensure FEMA and the Coast Guard are operational, and ensure we can counter imminent threats against America. We should be voting in DC as long as it takes to get DHS fully funded again—our homeland security should not be a political game.” — Congresswoman Ashley Hinson
These are the agencies within the Department of Homeland Security that haven’t been funded for the past 40+ days:
Transportation Security Administration (TSA) – keeping Americans safe in our skies
Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) – protecting Americans and our critical infrastructure against cyber threats
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) – critical disaster relief for Americans
United States Coast Guard (USCG) – protecting our waterways and providing maritime security on our seas
United States Secret Service (USSS) – providing security for national leaders both current and former; investigates bank and cyber fraud
Homeland Security Investigations (HSI) – investigating crime and dangerous threats to protect the American people
Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) – protecting Americans from dangerous criminal illegal aliens
Customs and Border Protection (CBP) – enforcing our nation’s laws on the border
United States Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) – supporting lawful immigration processes
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Source: GDELT 2.0 GKG, filtered to a curated list of national outlets. Inclusion is not endorsement; opinion pieces and reported news are mixed.
Recent stock activity
Periodic transaction reports filed under the STOCK Act — disclosed by the rep, sourced from public filings.
No disclosed trades on record.
Source: open-data mirrors of the Senate eFD and House Clerk financial-disclosure systems. Disclosure within 30 days of trade is required by law (45 for spouse/dependent trades).
Top PAC donors · 2026 cycle
Political action committees that gave the most to this rep's principal campaign committee this cycle. PAC giving is direct organizational support — industry, ideological, or leadership.
1.TAKE BACK THE HOUSE 2022Leadership4 contributionsMember-of-Congress leadership PAC — supports Republican candidates aligned with the party's House agenda.AI$52,444
2.PROTECT THE HOUSE 2024Leadership2 contributionsMember-of-Congress leadership PAC — supports Democratic House candidates and coordinates party fundraising efforts.AI$22,546
3.INNOVATION PAC2 contributions$20,000
4.HEARTLAND VALUES PAC2 contributions$20,000
5.COMMON VALUES PAC2 contributions$20,000
6.ONE TEAM SENATE MAJORITY1 contribution$13,416
7.GOP WINNING WOMENLeadership1 contributionRepublican party-affiliated leadership PAC — supports female Republican candidates and party priorities in federal elections.AI$13,166
8.DEMOCRACY ENGINE INC. PAC (EARMARK)1 contribution$11,900
9.NORPAC (EARMARK)1 contribution$11,500
10.EMMER MAJORITY BUILDERSLeadership1 contributionMember-of-Congress leadership PAC affiliated with Rep. Tom Emmer — directs contributions to allied Republican candidates and party priorities.AI$11,084
Source: OpenFEC (api.open.fec.gov) Schedule A receipts where contributor type is “committee.” Aggregated by contributing committee. Self-transfers from joint-fundraising / victory committees are excluded.
Top individual contributors · 2026 cycle
Itemized individual contributions over $200 to this rep's campaign committee, aggregated by donor employer. PAC giving is shown above; this section is people, not organizations.
1.SELF$106,235
2.INFORMATION REQUESTED PER BEST EFFORTS$68,935
3.MARQUIS MANAGEMENT$33,000
4.NEXTERA ENERGY$30,000
5.BLACKSTONE$23,000
6.ENTREPRENEUR$18,950
7.CORNERSTONE GOVERNMENT AFFAIRS$18,477
8.UNIVERSAL INDUSTRIES INC$17,500
9.S-3 GROUP$17,000
10.KKR$14,000
Source: OpenFEC Schedule A receipts where contributor type is “individual,” aggregated by the donor's self-reported employer. This is a geographic / industry correlation, not a corporate endorsement.