2026 race

IL-15 — U.S. House

2 candidates on the November ballot. Incumbent: Mary E. Miller.

Read the record. Not the rhetoric.

See where these candidates stand — and who's funding them.

DeepSyte tracks the money and the record in every race against the issues you care about — not party, not press releases. Take the 2-minute values quiz to see your alignment.

How we got here · 2 earlier contests
Democratic primary · Tuesday, March 17, 2026
Called by audit: web-verified
Jennifer ToddWon45.4%
  • DPaul DavisDefeated34.0%
Republican primary · Tuesday, March 17, 2026
Called by audit: web-verified
Mary E. MillerWon73.6%
  • RRyan TebruggeDefeated14.9%
  • RJudy BowlbyDefeated11.5%
Election held
Counting
Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Results appear here once a race is called and verified. Official returns from the Illinois State Board of Elections.

Disclosed money in race
$2.2M
Candidate + outside spending. See finance breakdown below.
Incumbent

Currently in office

Challengers

Sorted by fundraising

Jennifer Todd

D
ChallengerFEC H6IL15092

Sign in + take the quiz to see alignment.

Raised this cycle$210K
Cash on hand: $37K
3 defeated candidates — show

Paul Davis

DDefeated
ChallengerFEC H6IL15100

Sign in + take the quiz to see alignment.

Raised this cycle$87K
Cash on hand: $3K

Judy Bowlby

RDefeated
ChallengerFEC H6IL15118

Sign in + take the quiz to see alignment.

Raised this cycle$38K
Cash on hand: $0

Ryan Tebrugge

RDefeated
ChallengerFEC H6IL15134

Sign in + take the quiz to see alignment.

Raised this cycle$5K
Cash on hand: $2K
Local signal

Early read on IL-15 — U.S. House

A directional read on where this seat is trending, from the signals we have so far. This is an early scaffold — more inputs light up as coverage and constituent activity accrue.

Coverage tone · the matchup
Recent news coverage of the nominees heading to the general election.
Mary E. Millerleans positive
1 pos1 neutral0 neg2 articles
Jennifer Toddlimited coverage
No coverage in our tracked outlets in the last 90 days.
A media signal, not a poll of the district.
Constituent stakes
No one here has staked a position on a tracked vote yet. As neighbors weigh in on /pressure campaigns, the district's lean will show up here.
Money in the race

Finance breakdown

Disclosed funding shaping this race — both the money candidates raise themselves and the outside spending dropped by independent groups. Issue-ad spending by 501(c)(4) groups is excluded; the FEC doesn't require disclosure of it. See the note below for details.

Candidate fundraising: FEC reports through October 14, 2026 · 2025–26 cycle

Total disclosed
$2.2M
Candidate fundraising + independent expenditures (FEC).
Candidate-direct (Schedule A)
$2.2M
Raised by candidate committees themselves.
Outside spending (Schedule E)
$15K
$13K for · $2K against
CandidateRaised directlyOutside forOutside againstNet in corner
Mary E. Miller(R)incumbent
+ FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND $9K
+ ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POLITICAL INVOLVEMENT FUND (FED) 'ACTIVATOR'/'ILLINOIS FARM BUREAU ACTIVATOR' $4K
− MAHA PAC $2K
$1.9M$13K$2K$1.9M
Jennifer Todd(D)
$210K——$210K
3 defeated candidates — show finances
CandidateRaised directlyOutside forOutside againstNet in corner
Paul Davis(D)defeated
$87K——$87K
Judy Bowlby(R)defeated
$38K——$38K
Ryan Tebrugge(R)defeated
$5K——$5K
Where the money comes from

In-state vs out-of-state

Share of each candidate's itemized individual contributions from donors inside IL versus the rest of the country. Excludes sub-$200 unitemized donations (no geography on file) and PAC money — see note below.

Mary E. Miller(R)60% in-state · $460K itemized
$276K in-state$184K out-of-state
Jennifer Todd(D)96% in-state · $54K itemized
$52K in-state$2K out-of-state
3 defeated candidates — show
Paul Davis(D)defeated91% in-state · $19K itemized
$18K in-state$2K out-of-state
Judy Bowlby(R)defeated96% in-state · $12K itemized
$11K in-state$500 out-of-state
Ryan Tebrugge(R)defeated100% in-state · $1K itemized
$1K in-state$0 out-of-state
What's counted, what isn't

Candidate-direct is each campaign's reported receipts on FEC Schedule A — individual contributions plus PAC contributions to the candidate's own committee — through the most recent filing.

Outside spending is independent expenditures on FEC Schedule E: money spent by PACs, super PACs, and party committees for or against a candidate, without legal coordination with the campaign. The committees listed under each candidate are the largest disclosed spenders on either side.

In-state vs out-of-state covers only itemized individual contributions — donations over $200, which are the only ones that carry a contributor address at the FEC. Sub-$200 unitemized donations (often a large share for grassroots campaigns) have no geography on file and are excluded, as is PAC money. So the percentages describe where a candidate's itemized individual money comes from, not where every dollar raised comes from.

Not counted: 501(c)(4) "social welfare" organizations run issue ads that frequently mention candidates by name but aren't classified as express advocacy under FEC rules — they file no Schedule E and don't appear in this breakdown. Press reporting on a race may cite figures that include this dark-money spending; ours doesn't.

Where they stand

Issue-by-issue comparison

Positions extracted from each candidate's campaign issues page by AI. Contested rows — where candidates disagree with each other — appear first.

StatementMillerToddYou
Abortion
A national law should protect access to abortion in every state.
—
Abortion
Access to in vitro fertilization (IVF) and other fertility treatments should be protected by federal law.
—
Agriculture
Federal funding to extend broadband access to rural areas should be expanded.
—
Economy
The federal minimum wage should be raised.
—
Economy
The federal government should require employers to provide paid family and medical leave.
—
Education
Parents should be able to use public funds — through vouchers — to send their kids to private or charter schools.
—
Education
Federal Title IX protections should explicitly include sexual orientation and gender identity.
—
Guns
Civilian ownership of AR-15-style rifles should be restricted.
—
Healthcare
Medicare should be allowed to negotiate lower prescription drug prices.
—
Healthcare
States, not the federal government, should decide who gets Medicaid and what it covers.
—
Healthcare
Federal enforcement of mental-health insurance parity (equal coverage to medical care) should be strengthened.
—
Labor
Federal labor law should make it easier for workers to form unions (PRO Act-style reforms).
—
Labor
Federal law should preserve state right-to-work laws against union security clauses.
—
Veterans
The VA should cover more veterans and more health conditions.
—
Veterans
Federal support for veterans exposed to burn pits and other toxic environments should be expanded.
—

SupportsOpposesNo public positionRinged = confirmed by the campaign

About this race page

Candidate roster is sourced from the FEC's active-candidate list for the 2026 cycle. Fundraising totals reflect committee filings through the last reporting period.

Alignment % compares the candidate's extracted policy positions against your quiz answers. Positions are pulled from the candidate's campaign issues page by AI; we save the source quote for each position so you can verify the extraction. Candidates without a campaign issues page show position data pending — we're working through the roster and re-checking stale extractions every 90 days.

News coverage is from the GDELT 2.0 global news feed, filtered to a curated list of national, political, and regional outlets.