2026 race

MO-03 — U.S. House

3 candidates on the November ballot. Incumbent: Robert F. Onder.

Read the record. Not the rhetoric.

See where these candidates stand — and who's funding them.

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How we got here · 2 earlier contests
Democratic primary · Tuesday, August 4, 2026
Bethany E MannWon69.1%
  • DTommy HolsteinDefeated17.7%
Republican primary · Tuesday, August 4, 2026
Called by AP (results via Ballotpedia)
Robert F. OnderWon66.3%
  • RJohn FraserDefeated33.7%
Election held
Counting
Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Results appear here once a race is called and verified. Official returns from the Missouri Secretary of State.

Disclosed money in race
$2.4M
Candidate + outside spending. See finance breakdown below.
Incumbent

Currently in office

ONDER, ROBERT FOR JR. official portrait

Robert F. Onder

R
IncumbentFEC H4MO03221

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Raised this cycle$1.1M
Cash on hand: $526K
Challengers

Sorted by fundraising

Bethany E Mann

D
ChallengerFEC H2MO03167

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Raised this cycle$87K
Cash on hand: $6K

Jim Higgins

I
ChallengerFEC H2MO02078

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Raised this cycle—
Cash on hand: —
3 defeated candidates — show

Robert Frank Onder

RDefeated
ChallengerFEC H8MO09146

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Raised this cycle$1.1M
Cash on hand: $526K

John Fraser

RDefeated
ChallengerFEC H6MO03390

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Raised this cycle$20K
Cash on hand: $1K

Tommy Holstein

DDefeated
ChallengerFEC H6MO03416

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Raised this cycle$10K
Cash on hand: $2K
Local signal

Early read on MO-03 — U.S. House

A directional read on where this seat is trending, from the signals we have so far. This is an early scaffold — more inputs light up as coverage and constituent activity accrue.

Coverage tone · the matchup
Recent news coverage of the nominees heading to the general election.
Robert F. Onderlimited coverage
No coverage in our tracked outlets in the last 90 days.
Bethany E Mannlimited coverage
No coverage in our tracked outlets in the last 90 days.
A media signal, not a poll of the district.
Constituent stakes
No one here has staked a position on a tracked vote yet. As neighbors weigh in on /pressure campaigns, the district's lean will show up here.
Money in the race

Finance breakdown

Disclosed funding shaping this race — both the money candidates raise themselves and the outside spending dropped by independent groups. Issue-ad spending by 501(c)(4) groups is excluded; the FEC doesn't require disclosure of it. See the note below for details.

Candidate fundraising: FEC reports through October 14, 2026 · 2025–26 cycle

Total disclosed
$2.4M
Candidate fundraising + independent expenditures (FEC).
Candidate-direct (Schedule A)
$2.4M
Raised by candidate committees themselves.
Outside spending (Schedule E)
$2K
$10 for · $2K against
CandidateRaised directlyOutside forOutside againstNet in corner
Robert F. Onder(R)incumbent
+ FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND $10
− MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC $2K
$1.1M$10$2K$1.1M
Bethany E Mann(D)
$87K——$87K
Jim Higgins(L)
$0——$0
3 defeated candidates — show finances
CandidateRaised directlyOutside forOutside againstNet in corner
Robert Frank Onder(R)defeated
$1.1M——$1.1M
John Fraser(R)defeated
$20K——$20K
Tommy Holstein(D)defeated
$10K——$10K
Where the money comes from

In-state vs out-of-state

Share of each candidate's itemized individual contributions from donors inside MO versus the rest of the country. Excludes sub-$200 unitemized donations (no geography on file) and PAC money — see note below.

Robert F. Onder(R)81% in-state · $491K itemized
$399K in-state$93K out-of-state
Bethany E Mann(D)88% in-state · $18K itemized
$16K in-state$2K out-of-state
3 defeated candidates — show
Robert Frank Onder(R)defeated81% in-state · $491K itemized
$399K in-state$93K out-of-state
John Fraser(R)defeated100% in-state · $4K itemized
$4K in-state$0 out-of-state
Tommy Holstein(D)defeated86% in-state · $3K itemized
$2K in-state$400 out-of-state
What's counted, what isn't

Candidate-direct is each campaign's reported receipts on FEC Schedule A — individual contributions plus PAC contributions to the candidate's own committee — through the most recent filing.

Outside spending is independent expenditures on FEC Schedule E: money spent by PACs, super PACs, and party committees for or against a candidate, without legal coordination with the campaign. The committees listed under each candidate are the largest disclosed spenders on either side.

In-state vs out-of-state covers only itemized individual contributions — donations over $200, which are the only ones that carry a contributor address at the FEC. Sub-$200 unitemized donations (often a large share for grassroots campaigns) have no geography on file and are excluded, as is PAC money. So the percentages describe where a candidate's itemized individual money comes from, not where every dollar raised comes from.

Not counted: 501(c)(4) "social welfare" organizations run issue ads that frequently mention candidates by name but aren't classified as express advocacy under FEC rules — they file no Schedule E and don't appear in this breakdown. Press reporting on a race may cite figures that include this dark-money spending; ours doesn't.

Where they stand

Issue-by-issue comparison

Positions extracted from each candidate's campaign issues page by AI. Contested rows — where candidates disagree with each other — appear first.

StatementOnderMannHigginsYou
Abortion
A national law should protect access to abortion in every state.
—
Agriculture
Federal funding to extend broadband access to rural areas should be expanded.
—
Healthcare
The government should provide healthcare for everyone.
—
Governance & Other
Voters should be required to show photo ID, with the same rule in every state.
—

SupportsOpposesNo public positionRinged = confirmed by the campaign

About this race page

Candidate roster is sourced from the FEC's active-candidate list for the 2026 cycle. Fundraising totals reflect committee filings through the last reporting period.

Alignment % compares the candidate's extracted policy positions against your quiz answers. Positions are pulled from the candidate's campaign issues page by AI; we save the source quote for each position so you can verify the extraction. Candidates without a campaign issues page show position data pending — we're working through the roster and re-checking stale extractions every 90 days.

News coverage is from the GDELT 2.0 global news feed, filtered to a curated list of national, political, and regional outlets.