2026 race

NJ-03 — U.S. House

4 candidates on the November ballot. Incumbent: Herbert C. Conaway.

Read the record. Not the rhetoric.

See where these candidates stand — and who's funding them.

DeepSyte tracks the money and the record in every race against the issues you care about — not party, not press releases. Take the 2-minute values quiz to see your alignment.

How we got here · 2 earlier contests
Democratic primary · Tuesday, June 2, 2026
Called by audit: web-verified
Herbert C. ConawayWon
Republican primary · Tuesday, June 2, 2026
Called by audit: web-verified
Michael P. McGuireWon57.0%
  • RJason CullenDefeated26.0%
  • RJustin BarberaDefeated17.0%
Election held
Counting
Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Results appear here once a race is called and verified. Official returns from the New Jersey Division of Elections.

Disclosed money in race
$1.5M
Candidate + outside spending. See finance breakdown below.
Incumbent

Currently in office

Challengers

Sorted by fundraising

Michael P. McGuire

R
ChallengerFEC H6NJ03184

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Raised this cycle$221K
Cash on hand: $17K

Ryan Michael Kelly

I
ChallengerFEC H6NJ03192

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Raised this cycle$6K
Cash on hand: $762

Steven Welzer

I
ChallengerFEC H4NJ03247

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Raised this cycle—
Cash on hand: —
2 defeated candidates — show

Jason Cullen

RDefeated
ChallengerFEC H6NJ03176

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Raised this cycle$79K
Cash on hand: $5K

Justin Barbera

RDefeated
ChallengerFEC H4NJ03288

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Raised this cycle$0
Cash on hand: $0
Local signal

Early read on NJ-03 — U.S. House

A directional read on where this seat is trending, from the signals we have so far. This is an early scaffold — more inputs light up as coverage and constituent activity accrue.

Coverage tone · the matchup
Recent news coverage of the nominees heading to the general election.
Herbert C. Conawaylimited coverage
No coverage in our tracked outlets in the last 90 days.
Michael P. McGuirelimited coverage
No coverage in our tracked outlets in the last 90 days.
A media signal, not a poll of the district.
Constituent stakes
No one here has staked a position on a tracked vote yet. As neighbors weigh in on /pressure campaigns, the district's lean will show up here.
Money in the race

Finance breakdown

Disclosed funding shaping this race — both the money candidates raise themselves and the outside spending dropped by independent groups. Issue-ad spending by 501(c)(4) groups is excluded; the FEC doesn't require disclosure of it. See the note below for details.

Candidate fundraising: FEC reports through October 14, 2026 · 2025–26 cycle

Total disclosed
$1.5M
Candidate fundraising + independent expenditures (FEC).
Candidate-direct (Schedule A)
$1.5M
Raised by candidate committees themselves.
Outside spending (Schedule E)
$10
$10 for · $0 against
CandidateRaised directlyOutside forOutside againstNet in corner
Herbert C. Conaway(D)incumbent
+ SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION $10
$1.2M$10—$1.2M
Michael P. McGuire(R)
$221K——$221K
Ryan Michael Kelly(I)
$6K——$6K
Steven Welzer(G)
$0——$0
2 defeated candidates — show finances
CandidateRaised directlyOutside forOutside againstNet in corner
Jason Cullen(R)defeated
$79K——$79K
Justin Barbera(R)defeated
$0——$0
Where the money comes from

In-state vs out-of-state

Share of each candidate's itemized individual contributions from donors inside NJ versus the rest of the country. Excludes sub-$200 unitemized donations (no geography on file) and PAC money — see note below.

Herbert C. Conaway(D)69% in-state · $376K itemized
$258K in-state$118K out-of-state
Michael P. McGuire(R)35% in-state · $53K itemized
$19K in-state$34K out-of-state
1 defeated candidate — show
Jason Cullen(R)defeated14% in-state · $7K itemized
$1K in-state$6K out-of-state
What's counted, what isn't

Candidate-direct is each campaign's reported receipts on FEC Schedule A — individual contributions plus PAC contributions to the candidate's own committee — through the most recent filing.

Outside spending is independent expenditures on FEC Schedule E: money spent by PACs, super PACs, and party committees for or against a candidate, without legal coordination with the campaign. The committees listed under each candidate are the largest disclosed spenders on either side.

In-state vs out-of-state covers only itemized individual contributions — donations over $200, which are the only ones that carry a contributor address at the FEC. Sub-$200 unitemized donations (often a large share for grassroots campaigns) have no geography on file and are excluded, as is PAC money. So the percentages describe where a candidate's itemized individual money comes from, not where every dollar raised comes from.

Not counted: 501(c)(4) "social welfare" organizations run issue ads that frequently mention candidates by name but aren't classified as express advocacy under FEC rules — they file no Schedule E and don't appear in this breakdown. Press reporting on a race may cite figures that include this dark-money spending; ours doesn't.

Where they stand

Issue-by-issue comparison

Positions extracted from each candidate's campaign issues page by AI. Contested rows — where candidates disagree with each other — appear first.

StatementConawayMcguireKellyWelzerYou
Abortion
A national law should protect access to abortion in every state.
—
Abortion
Each state should set its own abortion laws.
—
Abortion
Access to in vitro fertilization (IVF) and other fertility treatments should be protected by federal law.
—
Abortion
Access to contraception should be guaranteed by federal law in all states (Right to Contraception Act).
—
Criminal Justice
Federal minimum sentences for non-violent drug crimes should be reduced or eliminated.
—
Criminal Justice
Marijuana should be legal under federal law.
—
Criminal Justice
Federal law should allow individuals to sue police officers for civil-rights violations even when officers claim qualified immunity.
—
Economy
The federal minimum wage should be raised.
—
Economy
The federal government should require employers to provide paid family and medical leave.
—
Education
The government should forgive some federal student loan debt.
—
Environment
The government should stop subsidizing oil and gas companies.
—
Environment
Federal permitting and subsidies for new nuclear power plants should be expanded.
—
Foreign Policy
The U.S. should spend more on the military.
—
Foreign Policy
Conditions on U.S. military aid to Israel — tied to humanitarian or human-rights compliance — should be strengthened.
—
Guns
All gun sales — including private ones — should require a background check.
—
Guns
Civilian ownership of AR-15-style rifles should be restricted.
—
Guns
Federal law should authorize court-issued red-flag orders allowing temporary firearm removal from people deemed a danger.
—
Healthcare
The government should provide healthcare for everyone.
—
Healthcare
States, not the federal government, should decide who gets Medicaid and what it covers.
—
Healthcare
Federal enforcement of mental-health insurance parity (equal coverage to medical care) should be strengthened.
—
Housing
The government should spend more building affordable housing.
—
Immigration
People who were brought to the U.S. illegally as children should have a path to citizenship.
—
Immigration
The U.S. should do more to enforce immigration laws and secure the border.
—
Judicial Reform
Supreme Court justices should be subject to fixed terms (e.g. 18 years) rather than life tenure.
—
Labor
Federal labor law should make it easier for workers to form unions (PRO Act-style reforms).
—
Labor
Federal law should preserve state right-to-work laws against union security clauses.
—
Governance & Other
There should be term limits for senators and representatives.
—
Governance & Other
Outside political spending — from PACs and super PACs — should be limited more strictly.
—

SupportsOpposesNo public positionRinged = confirmed by the campaign

About this race page

Candidate roster is sourced from the FEC's active-candidate list for the 2026 cycle. Fundraising totals reflect committee filings through the last reporting period.

Alignment % compares the candidate's extracted policy positions against your quiz answers. Positions are pulled from the candidate's campaign issues page by AI; we save the source quote for each position so you can verify the extraction. Candidates without a campaign issues page show position data pending — we're working through the roster and re-checking stale extractions every 90 days.

News coverage is from the GDELT 2.0 global news feed, filtered to a curated list of national, political, and regional outlets.