All New York races
2026 race

NY-21 — U.S. House

7 active candidates on file with the FEC. Incumbent: Elise Stefanik.

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Currently held by
Elise M. Stefanik (R)not seeking re-election in 2026. They've publicly announced their retirement; their committee is still on the FEC's 2026 roster for routine compliance, but this is effectively an open seat.
Election day
135days
Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Disclosed money in race
$16M
Candidate + outside spending. See finance breakdown below.
Incumbent

Currently in office

Challengers

Sorted by fundraising

Anthony Thomas Constantino

R
ChallengerFEC H6NY21157

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Raised this cycle$5.0M
Cash on hand: $3.5M

Blake Gendebien

D
ChallengerFEC H6NY21199

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Raised this cycle$4.7M
Cash on hand: $2.5M

Robert Smullen

R
ChallengerFEC H6NY21215

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Raised this cycle$1.2M
Cash on hand: $964K

Dylan Hewitt

D
ChallengerFEC H6NY21207

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Raised this cycle$352K
Cash on hand: $88K

Stuart Jameson Amoriell

D
ChallengerFEC H6NY21223

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Raised this cycle$111K
Cash on hand: $16K

Paula Collins

D
ChallengerFEC H4NY21145

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Raised this cycle$14K
Cash on hand: $95K
Local signal

Early read on NY-21 — U.S. House

A directional read on where this seat is trending, from the signals we have so far. This is an early scaffold — more inputs light up as coverage and constituent activity accrue.

Coverage tone · leans negative
Recent news coverage of Elise M. Stefanik over the last 90 days.
0 positive3 neutral3 negative
6 articles · AI-assessed sentiment toward the rep. A media signal, not a poll of the district.
Constituent stakes
No one here has staked a position on a tracked vote yet. As neighbors weigh in on /pressure campaigns, the district's lean will show up here.
Money in the race

Finance breakdown

Disclosed funding shaping this race — both the money candidates raise themselves and the outside spending dropped by independent groups. Issue-ad spending by 501(c)(4) groups is excluded; the FEC doesn't require disclosure of it. See the note below for details.

Total disclosed
$16M
Candidate fundraising + independent expenditures (FEC).
Candidate-direct (Schedule A)
$16M
Raised by candidate committees themselves.
Outside spending (Schedule E)
$0
No outside spending reported yet.
CandidateRaised directlyOutside forOutside againstNet in corner
Anthony Thomas Constantino(R)
$5.0M$5.0M
Elise Stefanik(R)incumbent
$5.0M$5.0M
Blake Gendebien(D)
$4.7M$4.7M
Robert Smullen(R)
$1.2M$1.2M
Dylan Hewitt(D)
$352K$352K
Stuart Jameson Amoriell(D)
$111K$111K
Paula Collins(D)
$14K$14K
Where the money comes from

In-state vs out-of-state

Share of each candidate's itemized individual contributions from donors inside NY versus the rest of the country. Excludes sub-$200 unitemized donations (no geography on file) and PAC money — see note below.

Elise Stefanik(R)36% in-state · $3.2M itemized
$1.2M in-state$2.1M out-of-state
Blake Gendebien(D)49% in-state · $2.2M itemized
$1.1M in-state$1.1M out-of-state
Robert Smullen(R)59% in-state · $129K itemized
$77K in-state$52K out-of-state
What's counted, what isn't

Candidate-direct is each campaign's reported receipts on FEC Schedule A — individual contributions plus PAC contributions to the candidate's own committee — through the most recent filing.

Outside spending is independent expenditures on FEC Schedule E: money spent by PACs, super PACs, and party committees for or against a candidate, without legal coordination with the campaign. The committees listed under each candidate are the largest disclosed spenders on either side.

In-state vs out-of-state covers only itemized individual contributions — donations over $200, which are the only ones that carry a contributor address at the FEC. Sub-$200 unitemized donations (often a large share for grassroots campaigns) have no geography on file and are excluded, as is PAC money. So the percentages describe where a candidate's itemized individual money comes from, not where every dollar raised comes from.

Not counted: 501(c)(4) "social welfare" organizations run issue ads that frequently mention candidates by name but aren't classified as express advocacy under FEC rules — they file no Schedule E and don't appear in this breakdown. Press reporting on a race may cite figures that include this dark-money spending; ours doesn't.

Recent coverage

In the news

About this race page

Candidate roster is sourced from the FEC's active-candidate list for the 2026 cycle. Fundraising totals reflect committee filings through the last reporting period.

Alignment % compares the candidate's extracted policy positions against your quiz answers. Positions are pulled from the candidate's campaign issues page by AI; we save the source quote for each position so you can verify the extraction. Candidates without a campaign issues page show position data pending — we're working through the roster and re-checking stale extractions every 90 days.

News coverage is from the GDELT 2.0 global news feed, filtered to a curated list of national, political, and regional outlets.