2026 race

TX-02 — U.S. House

2 candidates on the November ballot. Incumbent: Dan Crenshaw.

Read the record. Not the rhetoric.

See where these candidates stand — and who's funding them.

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How we got here · 2 earlier contests
Democratic primary · Tuesday, March 3, 2026
Called by audit: web-verified
Shaun FinnieWon100.0%
Republican primary · Tuesday, March 3, 2026
Called by audit: web-verified
Steve TothWon55.8%
  • RDan Crenshaw· inc.Defeated40.6%
  • RMartin EtwopDefeated
  • RNicholas Lee PlumbDefeated
Election held
Counting
Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Results appear here once a race is called and verified. Official returns from the Texas Secretary of State.

Make sure you can vote
Disclosed money in race
$11M
Candidate + outside spending. See finance breakdown below.
Incumbent

Currently in office

Challengers

Sorted by fundraising

Shaun Finnie

D
ChallengerFEC H6TX02251

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Raised this cycle$3.2M
Cash on hand: $262K

Steve Toth

R
ChallengerFEC H6TX08175

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Raised this cycle$1.0M
Cash on hand: $112K
3 defeated candidates — show

Martin Etwop

RDefeated
ChallengerFEC H2TX08232

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Raised this cycle$14K
Cash on hand: −$2

Nicholas Lee Plumb

RDefeated
ChallengerFEC H6TX02236

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Raised this cycle$9K
Cash on hand: $69

Jameson Ellis

RDefeated
ChallengerFEC H2TX08158

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Raised this cycle$6K
Cash on hand: $0
Local signal

Early read on TX-02 — U.S. House

A directional read on where this seat is trending, from the signals we have so far. This is an early scaffold — more inputs light up as coverage and constituent activity accrue.

Coverage tone · the matchup
Recent news coverage of the nominees heading to the general election.
Shaun Finnielimited coverage
No coverage in our tracked outlets in the last 90 days.
Steve Tothleans negative
0 pos0 neutral1 neg1 articles
A media signal, not a poll of the district.
Constituent stakes
No one here has staked a position on a tracked vote yet. As neighbors weigh in on /pressure campaigns, the district's lean will show up here.
Money in the race

Finance breakdown

Disclosed funding shaping this race — both the money candidates raise themselves and the outside spending dropped by independent groups. Issue-ad spending by 501(c)(4) groups is excluded; the FEC doesn't require disclosure of it. See the note below for details.

Candidate fundraising: FEC reports through October 14, 2026 · 2025–26 cycle

Total disclosed
$11M
Candidate fundraising + independent expenditures (FEC).
Candidate-direct (Schedule A)
$7.1M
Raised by candidate committees themselves.
Outside spending (Schedule E)
$3.9M
$1.6M for · $2.3M against
CandidateRaised directlyOutside forOutside againstNet in corner
Shaun Finnie(D)
$3.2M——$3.2M
Steve Toth(R)
+ ALAMO FREEDOM FIGHTERS PAC $445K
+ FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND $51K
+ TURNING POINT PAC INC. $24K
− FIGHT TO WIN AMERICA, INC. $1.8M
$1.0M$527K$1.8M−$281K
4 defeated candidates — show finances
CandidateRaised directlyOutside forOutside againstNet in corner
Dan Crenshaw(R)incumbentdefeated
+ FIGHT TO WIN AMERICA, INC. $825K
+ PATRIOTIC FUND, INC. $232K
+ NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $13K
− ALAMO FREEDOM FIGHTERS PAC $409K
$2.8M$1.1M$409K$3.5M
Martin Etwop(R)defeated
− FIGHT TO WIN AMERICA, INC. $3K
$14K—$3K$11K
Nicholas Lee Plumb(R)defeated
$9K——$9K
Jameson Ellis(R)defeated
$6K——$6K
Where the money comes from

In-state vs out-of-state

Share of each candidate's itemized individual contributions from donors inside TX versus the rest of the country. Excludes sub-$200 unitemized donations (no geography on file) and PAC money — see note below.

Shaun Finnie(D)42% in-state · $707K itemized
$294K in-state$413K out-of-state
Steve Toth(R)96% in-state · $926K itemized
$892K in-state$34K out-of-state
4 defeated candidates — show
Dan Crenshaw(R)defeated48% in-state · $1.8M itemized
$868K in-state$926K out-of-state
Martin Etwop(R)defeated81% in-state · $8K itemized
$6K in-state$2K out-of-state
Nicholas Lee Plumb(R)defeated100% in-state · $4K itemized
$4K in-state$0 out-of-state
Jameson Ellis(R)defeated88% in-state · $4K itemized
$4K in-state$500 out-of-state
What's counted, what isn't

Candidate-direct is each campaign's reported receipts on FEC Schedule A — individual contributions plus PAC contributions to the candidate's own committee — through the most recent filing.

Outside spending is independent expenditures on FEC Schedule E: money spent by PACs, super PACs, and party committees for or against a candidate, without legal coordination with the campaign. The committees listed under each candidate are the largest disclosed spenders on either side.

In-state vs out-of-state covers only itemized individual contributions — donations over $200, which are the only ones that carry a contributor address at the FEC. Sub-$200 unitemized donations (often a large share for grassroots campaigns) have no geography on file and are excluded, as is PAC money. So the percentages describe where a candidate's itemized individual money comes from, not where every dollar raised comes from.

Not counted: 501(c)(4) "social welfare" organizations run issue ads that frequently mention candidates by name but aren't classified as express advocacy under FEC rules — they file no Schedule E and don't appear in this breakdown. Press reporting on a race may cite figures that include this dark-money spending; ours doesn't.

Where they stand

Issue-by-issue comparison

Positions extracted from each candidate's campaign issues page by AI. Contested rows — where candidates disagree with each other — appear first.

StatementFinnieTothYou
Criminal Justice
The federal government should send more money to local police departments.
—
Economy
Tariffs on foreign goods should be used to protect American jobs.
—
Environment
The government should stop subsidizing oil and gas companies.
—
Foreign Policy
Conditions on U.S. military aid to Israel — tied to humanitarian or human-rights compliance — should be strengthened.
—
Guns
Civilian ownership of AR-15-style rifles should be restricted.
—
Guns
Federal law should authorize court-issued red-flag orders allowing temporary firearm removal from people deemed a danger.
—
Healthcare
The government should provide healthcare for everyone.
—
Immigration
The U.S. should do more to enforce immigration laws and secure the border.
—
Trade
Presidents should be able to impose broad tariffs unilaterally under emergency powers (IEEPA-style authority).
—
Trade
U.S. trade policy should reduce economic interdependence with China, especially on technology and critical minerals.
—
Veterans
The VA should cover more veterans and more health conditions.
—

SupportsOpposesNo public positionRinged = confirmed by the campaign

Recent coverage

In the news

About this race page

Candidate roster is sourced from the FEC's active-candidate list for the 2026 cycle. Fundraising totals reflect committee filings through the last reporting period.

Alignment % compares the candidate's extracted policy positions against your quiz answers. Positions are pulled from the candidate's campaign issues page by AI; we save the source quote for each position so you can verify the extraction. Candidates without a campaign issues page show position data pending — we're working through the roster and re-checking stale extractions every 90 days.

News coverage is from the GDELT 2.0 global news feed, filtered to a curated list of national, political, and regional outlets.