2026 race

WI-07 — U.S. House

2 candidates on the November ballot. Incumbent: Thomas P. Tiffany.

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See where these candidates stand — and who's funding them.

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How we got here · 2 earlier contests
Democratic primary · Tuesday, August 11, 2026
Called by audit: web-verified
Fred ClarkWon
  • DChristopher Campbell ArmstrongDefeated
  • DGinger MurrayDefeated
Republican primary · Tuesday, August 11, 2026
Called by audit: web-verified
Michael AlfonsoWon48.1%
Currently held by
Thomas P. Tiffany (R) — not seeking re-election in 2026. They've publicly announced their retirement; their committee is still on the FEC's 2026 roster for routine compliance, but this is effectively an open seat.
Election held
Counting
Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Results appear here once a race is called and verified. Official returns from the Wisconsin Elections Commission.

Disclosed money in race
$12M
Candidate + outside spending. See finance breakdown below.
Incumbent

Currently in office

Challengers

Sorted by fundraising

Michael Alfonso

R
ChallengerFEC H6WI07223

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Raised this cycle$1.8M
Cash on hand: $427K

Fred Clark

D
ChallengerFEC H6WI07207

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Raised this cycle$864K
Cash on hand: $261K
6 defeated candidates — show

Paul Wassgren

RDefeated
ChallengerFEC H6WI07215

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Raised this cycle$3.4M
Cash on hand: $0

Kevin Hermening

RDefeated
ChallengerFEC H6WI07249

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Raised this cycle$1.6M
Cash on hand: $51K

Jessi Ebben

RDefeated
ChallengerFEC H0WI03159

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Raised this cycle$556K
Cash on hand: $61K

Ginger Murray

DDefeated
ChallengerFEC H6WI07231

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Raised this cycle$160K
Cash on hand: $21K

Christopher Campbell Armstrong

DDefeated
ChallengerFEC H6WI07199

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Raised this cycle$39K
Cash on hand: −$323

Niina Threlfall-Baum

RDefeated
ChallengerFEC H6WI07256

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Raised this cycle$25K
Cash on hand: $4K
Local signal

Early read on WI-07 — U.S. House

A directional read on where this seat is trending, from the signals we have so far. This is an early scaffold — more inputs light up as coverage and constituent activity accrue.

Coverage tone · the matchup
Recent news coverage of the nominees heading to the general election.
Michael Alfonsoleans positive
2 pos7 neutral0 neg9 articles
Fred Clarklimited coverage
No coverage in our tracked outlets in the last 90 days.
A media signal, not a poll of the district.
Constituent stakes
No one here has staked a position on a tracked vote yet. As neighbors weigh in on /pressure campaigns, the district's lean will show up here.
Money in the race

Finance breakdown

Disclosed funding shaping this race — both the money candidates raise themselves and the outside spending dropped by independent groups. Issue-ad spending by 501(c)(4) groups is excluded; the FEC doesn't require disclosure of it. See the note below for details.

Candidate fundraising: FEC reports through October 14, 2026 · 2025–26 cycle

Total disclosed
$12M
Candidate fundraising + independent expenditures (FEC).
Candidate-direct (Schedule A)
$8.6M
Raised by candidate committees themselves.
Outside spending (Schedule E)
$3.2M
$3.2M for · $0 against
CandidateRaised directlyOutside forOutside againstNet in corner
Michael Alfonso(R)
+ NORTHWOODS FUTURE PAC $2.2M
+ TURNING POINT PAC INC. $9K
$1.8M$2.2M—$4.0M
Fred Clark(D)
$864K——$864K
7 defeated candidates — show finances
CandidateRaised directlyOutside forOutside againstNet in corner
Paul Wassgren(R)defeated
$3.4M——$3.4M
Kevin Hermening(R)defeated
$1.6M——$1.6M
Jessi Ebben(R)defeated
+ NORTHWOODS PAC $950K
+ CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC $22K
$556K$972K—$1.5M
Thomas P. Tiffany(R)incumbentdefeated
+ FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND $319
$171K$319—$171K
Ginger Murray(D)defeated
$160K——$160K
Christopher Campbell Armstrong(D)defeated
$39K——$39K
Niina Threlfall-Baum(R)defeated
$25K——$25K
Where the money comes from

In-state vs out-of-state

Share of each candidate's itemized individual contributions from donors inside WI versus the rest of the country. Excludes sub-$200 unitemized donations (no geography on file) and PAC money — see note below.

Michael Alfonso(R)30% in-state · $1.1M itemized
$324K in-state$753K out-of-state
Fred Clark(D)88% in-state · $290K itemized
$255K in-state$36K out-of-state
7 defeated candidates — show
Paul Wassgren(R)defeated15% in-state · $99K itemized
$15K in-state$84K out-of-state
Kevin Hermening(R)defeated85% in-state · $93K itemized
$79K in-state$14K out-of-state
Jessi Ebben(R)defeated49% in-state · $352K itemized
$174K in-state$178K out-of-state
Thomas P. Tiffany(R)defeated52% in-state · $102K itemized
$53K in-state$49K out-of-state
Ginger Murray(D)defeated72% in-state · $27K itemized
$19K in-state$8K out-of-state
Christopher Campbell Armstrong(D)defeated68% in-state · $26K itemized
$18K in-state$8K out-of-state
Niina Threlfall-Baum(R)defeated92% in-state · $16K itemized
$14K in-state$1K out-of-state
What's counted, what isn't

Candidate-direct is each campaign's reported receipts on FEC Schedule A — individual contributions plus PAC contributions to the candidate's own committee — through the most recent filing.

Outside spending is independent expenditures on FEC Schedule E: money spent by PACs, super PACs, and party committees for or against a candidate, without legal coordination with the campaign. The committees listed under each candidate are the largest disclosed spenders on either side.

In-state vs out-of-state covers only itemized individual contributions — donations over $200, which are the only ones that carry a contributor address at the FEC. Sub-$200 unitemized donations (often a large share for grassroots campaigns) have no geography on file and are excluded, as is PAC money. So the percentages describe where a candidate's itemized individual money comes from, not where every dollar raised comes from.

Not counted: 501(c)(4) "social welfare" organizations run issue ads that frequently mention candidates by name but aren't classified as express advocacy under FEC rules — they file no Schedule E and don't appear in this breakdown. Press reporting on a race may cite figures that include this dark-money spending; ours doesn't.

Where they stand

Issue-by-issue comparison

Positions extracted from each candidate's campaign issues page by AI. Contested rows — where candidates disagree with each other — appear first.

StatementAlfonsoClarkYou
Immigration
The U.S. should do more to enforce immigration laws and secure the border.
—
Technology
When the government uses AI, it should be required to disclose how those systems work.
—
Technology
Frontier AI models should be subject to mandatory federal safety testing before commercial deployment.
—

SupportsOpposesNo public positionRinged = confirmed by the campaign

Recent coverage

In the news

About this race page

Candidate roster is sourced from the FEC's active-candidate list for the 2026 cycle. Fundraising totals reflect committee filings through the last reporting period.

Alignment % compares the candidate's extracted policy positions against your quiz answers. Positions are pulled from the candidate's campaign issues page by AI; we save the source quote for each position so you can verify the extraction. Candidates without a campaign issues page show position data pending — we're working through the roster and re-checking stale extractions every 90 days.

News coverage is from the GDELT 2.0 global news feed, filtered to a curated list of national, political, and regional outlets.