Dan Sullivan
RIncumbentFEC S4AK00214
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Raised this cycle$12M
Cash on hand: $2.8M
2026 race
AK — U.S. Senate
4 candidates on the November ballot. Incumbent: Dan Sullivan.
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How we got here · 1 earlier contest
Primary · Tuesday, August 18, 2026
Called by Alaska Division of Elections (official, Aug 31 2026); AP
Top-two primary — Mary Peltola and Dan Sullivan and Daniel J. Jr. Sullivan and Gerald L. Heikes advanced to the general election.
- DMary PeltolaAdvanced to general49.5%
- RDan Sullivan· inc.Advanced to general41.4%
- RDaniel J. Jr. SullivanAdvanced to general2.5%
- DDavid Bryan LeslieWithdrew1.1%
- RGerald L. HeikesAdvanced to general1.1%
- DCarol HafnerDefeated0.6%
- Heather McElwainDefeated0.6%
- RDustin Thomas House DardenDefeated0.5%
- LScott KohlhaasDefeated0.5%
- Reece RobertsDefeated0.4%
- DRichard GraysonDefeated0.3%
Election held
Counting
Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Results appear here once a race is called and verified. Official returns from the Alaska Division of Elections.
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Disclosed money in race
$57M
Candidate + outside spending. See finance breakdown below.
Incumbents
Currently in office
Daniel J. Jr. Sullivan
RIncumbentFEC S6AK00326
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Raised this cycle$31K
Cash on hand: $2K
Challengers
Sorted by fundraising
Mary Peltola
DChallengerFEC S6AK00276
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Raised this cycle$37M
Cash on hand: $4.1M
Reece Roberts
IChallengerFEC S6AK00318
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Raised this cycle$0
Cash on hand: $0
Dustin Thomas House Darden
RChallengerFEC S6AK00268
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Raised this cycle$0
Cash on hand: $0
Carol Hafner
DChallengerFEC S6AK00284
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Raised this cycle$0
Cash on hand: $0
Richard Grayson
DChallengerFEC S8AK00181
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Raised this cycle—
Cash on hand: —
David Bryan Leslie
DChallengerFEC S6AK00300
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Raised this cycle—
Cash on hand: —
Heather McElwain
ChallengerFEC S6AK00292
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Raised this cycle—
Cash on hand: —
Scott Kohlhaas
IChallengerFEC S8AK00066
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Raised this cycle—
Cash on hand: —
Gerald L. Heikes
RChallengerFEC S8AK00140
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Raised this cycle—
Cash on hand: —
Local signal
Early read on AK — U.S. Senate
A directional read on where this seat is trending, from the signals we have so far. This is an early scaffold — more inputs light up as coverage and constituent activity accrue.
Coverage tone · leans negative
Recent news coverage of Dan Sullivan over the last 90 days.
11 positive201 neutral30 negative
242 articles · AI-assessed sentiment toward the rep. A media signal, not a poll of the district.
Constituent stakes
No one here has staked a position on a tracked vote yet. As neighbors weigh in on /pressure campaigns, the district's lean will show up here.
Money in the race
Finance breakdown
Disclosed funding shaping this race — both the money candidates raise themselves and the outside spending dropped by independent groups. Issue-ad spending by 501(c)(4) groups is excluded; the FEC doesn't require disclosure of it. See the note below for details.
Candidate fundraising: FEC reports through October 14, 2026 · 2025–26 cycle
Total disclosed
$57M
Candidate fundraising + independent expenditures (FEC).
Candidate-direct (Schedule A)
$48M
Raised by candidate committees themselves.
Outside spending (Schedule E)
$8.5M
$3.0M for · $5.5M against
| Candidate | Raised directly | Outside for | Outside against | Net in corner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Mary Peltola(D) + EDW ACTION FUND $254K + OUR FUTURE UNITED PAC $123K + MIDNIGHT SUN PAC $58K − LAST FRONTIER PAC $2.8M − AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION $175K − SLF PAC $82K | $37M | $455K | $3.0M | $34M |
Dan Sullivan(R)incumbent + AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION $987K + SLF PAC $328K + HIGH PLAINS PAC $265K − RIGHT FOR ALASKA $1.1M − AB PAC $1.0M − VOTEVETS $120K | $12M | $1.6M | $2.5M | $11M |
Gerald L. Heikes(R) + RIGHT FOR ALASKA $700K | $0 | $700K | — | $700K |
David Bryan Leslie(D) + AMERICAN DEMOCRACY PROJECT $272K | $0 | $272K | — | $272K |
Daniel J. Jr. Sullivan(R)incumbent | $31K | — | — | $31K |
Reece Roberts | $0 | — | — | $0 |
Dustin Thomas House Darden(R) | $0 | — | — | $0 |
Carol Hafner(D) | $0 | — | — | $0 |
Richard Grayson(D) | $0 | — | — | $0 |
Heather McElwain | $0 | — | — | $0 |
Scott Kohlhaas(L) | $0 | — | — | $0 |
Where the money comes from
In-state vs out-of-state
Share of each candidate's itemized individual contributions from donors inside AK versus the rest of the country. Excludes sub-$200 unitemized donations (no geography on file) and PAC money — see note below.
Mary Peltola(D)10% in-state · $11M itemized
$1.1M in-state$10M out-of-state
Dan Sullivan(R)14% in-state · $6.5M itemized
$890K in-state$5.6M out-of-state
Daniel J. Jr. Sullivan(R)79% in-state · $7K itemized
$6K in-state$2K out-of-state
What's counted, what isn't
Candidate-direct is each campaign's reported receipts on FEC Schedule A — individual contributions plus PAC contributions to the candidate's own committee — through the most recent filing.
Outside spending is independent expenditures on FEC Schedule E: money spent by PACs, super PACs, and party committees for or against a candidate, without legal coordination with the campaign. The committees listed under each candidate are the largest disclosed spenders on either side.
In-state vs out-of-state covers only itemized individual contributions — donations over $200, which are the only ones that carry a contributor address at the FEC. Sub-$200 unitemized donations (often a large share for grassroots campaigns) have no geography on file and are excluded, as is PAC money. So the percentages describe where a candidate's itemized individual money comes from, not where every dollar raised comes from.
Not counted: 501(c)(4) "social welfare" organizations run issue ads that frequently mention candidates by name but aren't classified as express advocacy under FEC rules — they file no Schedule E and don't appear in this breakdown. Press reporting on a race may cite figures that include this dark-money spending; ours doesn't.
Recent coverage
In the news
Mary Peltola
- Our Democracy Was Hanging By a Thread. Here’s the Real Reason It Held.SlateNov 4
- Midterms launch wave of historic firsts for some states — and for the nationChicago TribuneNov 4
- Midterms bringing in wave of historic firsts for some states — and for the nation - NewsdayNewsdayNov 4
- Democrats edging toward Senate control after ‘brutal’ GOP losses in key statesNew York PostNov 4
About this race page
Candidate roster is sourced from the FEC's active-candidate list for the 2026 cycle. Fundraising totals reflect committee filings through the last reporting period.
Alignment % compares the candidate's extracted policy positions against your quiz answers. Positions are pulled from the candidate's campaign issues page by AI; we save the source quote for each position so you can verify the extraction. Candidates without a campaign issues page show position data pending — we're working through the roster and re-checking stale extractions every 90 days.
News coverage is from the GDELT 2.0 global news feed, filtered to a curated list of national, political, and regional outlets.