Neal P. Dunn
RDefeatedIncumbentFEC H6FL02208
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Raised this cycle$831K
Cash on hand: $393K
2026 race
FL-02 — U.S. House
2 candidates on the November ballot. Incumbent: Neal P. Dunn.
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See where these candidates stand — and who's funding them.
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How we got here · 2 earlier contests
Democratic primary · Tuesday, August 18, 2026
Called by audit: web-verified
Amanda Marie GreenWon33.4%
- DBrice BarnesDefeated26.9%
- DHuy-Yen Cam BaileyDefeated28.1%
Republican primary · Tuesday, August 18, 2026
Called by AP
Austin RogersWon30.3%
- RKeith GrossDefeated16.5%
- REvan PowerDefeated15.9%
- RLuke MurphyDefeated15.6%
- RJim NortonDefeated12.7%
- RAudie RowellDefeated5.5%
- RLee JonesDefeated2.0%
- RNicholas Justin LewisDefeated1.5%
Currently held by
Neal P. Dunn (R) — not seeking re-election in 2026. They've publicly announced their retirement; their committee is still on the FEC's 2026 roster for routine compliance, but this is effectively an open seat.
Election held
Counting
Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Results appear here once a race is called and verified. Official returns from the Florida Department of State, Division of Elections.
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Disclosed money in race
$21M
Candidate + outside spending. See finance breakdown below.
Incumbent
Currently in office
Challengers
Sorted by fundraising
Austin Rogers
RChallengerFEC H6FL02331
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Raised this cycle$1.4M
Cash on hand: $98K
Amanda Marie Green
DChallengerFEC H6FL02299
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Raised this cycle$658K
Cash on hand: $28K
10 defeated candidates — show
Keith Gross
RDefeatedChallengerFEC H4FL01247
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Raised this cycle$12M
Cash on hand: $31K
Evan Power
RDefeatedChallengerFEC H6FL02315
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Raised this cycle$846K
Cash on hand: $37K
Nicholas Zateslo
DDefeatedChallengerFEC H6FL02281
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Raised this cycle$488K
Cash on hand: −$489
Brice Barnes
DDefeatedChallengerFEC H6FL02398
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Raised this cycle$451K
Cash on hand: $868
Jim Norton
RDefeatedChallengerFEC H6FL02356
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Raised this cycle$422K
Cash on hand: $0
Luke Murphy
RDefeatedChallengerFEC H6FL02364
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Raised this cycle$301K
Cash on hand: $7K
Huy-Yen Cam Bailey
DDefeatedChallengerFEC H4FL02138
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Raised this cycle$184K
Cash on hand: $0
Audie Rowell
RDefeatedChallengerFEC H6FL02349
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Raised this cycle$125K
Cash on hand: $0
Nicholas Justin Lewis
RDefeatedChallengerFEC H6FL02323
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Raised this cycle$107K
Cash on hand: $0
Lee Jones
RDefeatedChallengerFEC H6FL02380
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Raised this cycle$53K
Cash on hand: $25K
Local signal
Early read on FL-02 — U.S. House
A directional read on where this seat is trending, from the signals we have so far. This is an early scaffold — more inputs light up as coverage and constituent activity accrue.
Coverage tone · the matchup
Recent news coverage of the nominees heading to the general election.
Austin Rogerslimited coverage
No coverage in our tracked outlets in the last 90 days.
Amanda Marie Greenlimited coverage
No coverage in our tracked outlets in the last 90 days.
A media signal, not a poll of the district.
Constituent stakes
No one here has staked a position on a tracked vote yet. As neighbors weigh in on /pressure campaigns, the district's lean will show up here.
Money in the race
Finance breakdown
Disclosed funding shaping this race — both the money candidates raise themselves and the outside spending dropped by independent groups. Issue-ad spending by 501(c)(4) groups is excluded; the FEC doesn't require disclosure of it. See the note below for details.
Candidate fundraising: FEC reports through October 15, 2026 · 2025–26 cycle
Total disclosed
$21M
Candidate fundraising + independent expenditures (FEC).
Candidate-direct (Schedule A)
$18M
Raised by candidate committees themselves.
Outside spending (Schedule E)
$2.4M
$1.7M for · $698K against
| Candidate | Raised directly | Outside for | Outside against | Net in corner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Austin Rogers(R) + PANHANDLE PATRIOTS PAC $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.4M | — | $2.7M |
Amanda Marie Green(D) | $658K | — | — | $658K |
11 defeated candidates — show finances
| Candidate | Raised directly | Outside for | Outside against | Net in corner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Keith Gross(R)defeated + FREEDOM AGAINST FEDERAL OVERREACH $150K − CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. $502K − PANHANDLE PATRIOTS PAC $196K | $12M | $150K | $698K | $12M |
Evan Power(R)defeated + NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $14K | $846K | $14K | — | $861K |
Neal P. Dunn(R)incumbentdefeated | $831K | — | — | $831K |
Luke Murphy(R)defeated + LET FREEDOM RING $142K + CONSERVATIVES FOR EFFECTIVE GOVERNMENT $48K | $301K | $189K | — | $490K |
Nicholas Zateslo(D)defeated | $488K | — | — | $488K |
Brice Barnes(D)defeated | $451K | — | — | $451K |
Jim Norton(R)defeated | $422K | — | — | $422K |
Huy-Yen Cam Bailey(D)defeated | $184K | — | — | $184K |
Audie Rowell(R)defeated | $125K | — | — | $125K |
Nicholas Justin Lewis(R)defeated | $107K | — | — | $107K |
Lee Jones(R)defeated | $53K | — | — | $53K |
Where the money comes from
In-state vs out-of-state
Share of each candidate's itemized individual contributions from donors inside FL versus the rest of the country. Excludes sub-$200 unitemized donations (no geography on file) and PAC money — see note below.
Austin Rogers(R)65% in-state · $603K itemized
$394K in-state$209K out-of-state
Amanda Marie Green(D)75% in-state · $292K itemized
$219K in-state$73K out-of-state
11 defeated candidates — show
Keith Gross(R)defeated11% in-state · $131K itemized
$14K in-state$117K out-of-state
Evan Power(R)defeated58% in-state · $378K itemized
$221K in-state$157K out-of-state
Neal P. Dunn(R)defeated56% in-state · $427K itemized
$240K in-state$188K out-of-state
Luke Murphy(R)defeated93% in-state · $285K itemized
$264K in-state$21K out-of-state
Nicholas Zateslo(D)defeated76% in-state · $243K itemized
$185K in-state$57K out-of-state
Brice Barnes(D)defeated82% in-state · $69K itemized
$57K in-state$12K out-of-state
Jim Norton(R)defeated85% in-state · $376K itemized
$319K in-state$57K out-of-state
Huy-Yen Cam Bailey(D)defeated85% in-state · $63K itemized
$54K in-state$10K out-of-state
Audie Rowell(R)defeated94% in-state · $106K itemized
$100K in-state$7K out-of-state
Nicholas Justin Lewis(R)defeated50% in-state · $1K itemized
$500 in-state$500 out-of-state
Lee Jones(R)defeated75% in-state · $2K itemized
$2K in-state$500 out-of-state
What's counted, what isn't
Candidate-direct is each campaign's reported receipts on FEC Schedule A — individual contributions plus PAC contributions to the candidate's own committee — through the most recent filing.
Outside spending is independent expenditures on FEC Schedule E: money spent by PACs, super PACs, and party committees for or against a candidate, without legal coordination with the campaign. The committees listed under each candidate are the largest disclosed spenders on either side.
In-state vs out-of-state covers only itemized individual contributions — donations over $200, which are the only ones that carry a contributor address at the FEC. Sub-$200 unitemized donations (often a large share for grassroots campaigns) have no geography on file and are excluded, as is PAC money. So the percentages describe where a candidate's itemized individual money comes from, not where every dollar raised comes from.
Not counted: 501(c)(4) "social welfare" organizations run issue ads that frequently mention candidates by name but aren't classified as express advocacy under FEC rules — they file no Schedule E and don't appear in this breakdown. Press reporting on a race may cite figures that include this dark-money spending; ours doesn't.
Where they stand
Issue-by-issue comparison
Positions extracted from each candidate's campaign issues page by AI. Contested rows — where candidates disagree with each other — appear first.
| Statement | Rogers | Green | You |
|---|---|---|---|
Abortion A national law should protect access to abortion in every state. | — | ||
Digital Assets Cryptocurrency exchanges and tokens should be regulated under a dedicated digital-asset framework rather than existing securities law (CLARITY Act-style). | — | ||
Economy Tariffs on foreign goods should be used to protect American jobs. | — | ||
Education Federal Title IX protections should explicitly include sexual orientation and gender identity. | — | ||
Foreign Policy The U.S. should spend more on the military. | — | ||
Foreign Policy Conditions on U.S. military aid to Israel — tied to humanitarian or human-rights compliance — should be strengthened. | — | ||
Guns Civilian ownership of AR-15-style rifles should be restricted. | — | ||
Immigration The U.S. should do more to enforce immigration laws and secure the border. | — | ||
Technology Federal law should require online platforms to implement specific safety measures for minors (Kids Online Safety Act-style). | — | ||
Trade Presidents should be able to impose broad tariffs unilaterally under emergency powers (IEEPA-style authority). | — | ||
Trade U.S. trade policy should reduce economic interdependence with China, especially on technology and critical minerals. | — | ||
Trade Federal procurement should give strong preference to U.S.-made goods, even at higher cost. | — | ||
Veterans The VA should cover more veterans and more health conditions. | — |
SupportsOpposesNo public positionRinged = confirmed by the campaign
About this race page
Candidate roster is sourced from the FEC's active-candidate list for the 2026 cycle. Fundraising totals reflect committee filings through the last reporting period.
Alignment % compares the candidate's extracted policy positions against your quiz answers. Positions are pulled from the candidate's campaign issues page by AI; we save the source quote for each position so you can verify the extraction. Candidates without a campaign issues page show position data pending — we're working through the roster and re-checking stale extractions every 90 days.
News coverage is from the GDELT 2.0 global news feed, filtered to a curated list of national, political, and regional outlets.