2026 race

FL-16 — U.S. House

3 candidates on the November ballot. Incumbent: Vern Buchanan.

Read the record. Not the rhetoric.

See where these candidates stand — and who's funding them.

DeepSyte tracks the money and the record in every race against the issues you care about — not party, not press releases. Take the 2-minute values quiz to see your alignment.

How we got here · 2 earlier contests
Democratic primary · Tuesday, August 18, 2026
Called by audit: web-verified
Kelly KirschnerWon43.8%
  • DTamika LylesDefeated19.4%
  • DJonathan HarrisDefeated
  • DGlenn Keith PearsonDefeated
  • DJan SchneiderDefeated
Republican primary · Tuesday, August 18, 2026
Called by audit: web-verified
Sydney GrutersWon65.6%
  • RJason Edward SpeirDefeated19.9%
  • REdward Peter PopeDefeated14.5%
Currently held by
Vern Buchanan (R) — not seeking re-election in 2026. They've publicly announced their retirement; their committee is still on the FEC's 2026 roster for routine compliance, but this is effectively an open seat.
Election held
Counting
Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Results appear here once a race is called and verified. Official returns from the Florida Department of State, Division of Elections.

Disclosed money in race
$6.4M
Candidate + outside spending. See finance breakdown below.
Incumbent

Currently in office

Challengers

Sorted by fundraising

Sydney Gruters

R
ChallengerFEC H6FL16141

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Raised this cycle$1.6M
Cash on hand: $252K

Kelly Kirschner

D
ChallengerFEC H6FL16158

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Raised this cycle$876K
Cash on hand: $261K

Mark Davis

I
ChallengerFEC H6FL06365

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Raised this cycle$67K
Cash on hand: $2K
6 defeated candidates — show

Tamika Lyles

DDefeated
ChallengerFEC H6FL16125

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Raised this cycle$122K
Cash on hand: $0

Jonathan Harris

DDefeated
ChallengerFEC H6FL16117

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Raised this cycle$86K
Cash on hand: $29K

Jan Schneider

DDefeated
ChallengerFEC H4FL16161

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Raised this cycle$62K
Cash on hand: $75K

Glenn Keith Pearson

DDefeated
ChallengerFEC H6FL16109

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Raised this cycle$51K
Cash on hand: −$870

Edward Peter Pope

RDefeated
ChallengerFEC H6FL16133

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Raised this cycle$49K
Cash on hand: $27K

Jason Edward Speir

RDefeated
ChallengerFEC H4FL16179

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Raised this cycle$45K
Cash on hand: $1K
Local signal

Early read on FL-16 — U.S. House

A directional read on where this seat is trending, from the signals we have so far. This is an early scaffold — more inputs light up as coverage and constituent activity accrue.

Coverage tone · the matchup
Recent news coverage of the nominees heading to the general election.
Sydney Gruterslimited coverage
No coverage in our tracked outlets in the last 90 days.
Kelly Kirschnermixed
0 pos2 neutral0 neg2 articles
A media signal, not a poll of the district.
Constituent stakes
No one here has staked a position on a tracked vote yet. As neighbors weigh in on /pressure campaigns, the district's lean will show up here.
Money in the race

Finance breakdown

Disclosed funding shaping this race — both the money candidates raise themselves and the outside spending dropped by independent groups. Issue-ad spending by 501(c)(4) groups is excluded; the FEC doesn't require disclosure of it. See the note below for details.

Candidate fundraising: FEC reports through October 14, 2026 · 2025–26 cycle

Total disclosed
$6.4M
Candidate fundraising + independent expenditures (FEC).
Candidate-direct (Schedule A)
$3.9M
Raised by candidate committees themselves.
Outside spending (Schedule E)
$2.5M
$1.6M for · $860K against
CandidateRaised directlyOutside forOutside againstNet in corner
Sydney Gruters(R)
+ CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. $1.0M
+ DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS $502K
+ WFW ACTION FUND INC $93K
$1.6M$1.6M—$3.3M
Kelly Kirschner(D)
+ SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION $10
$876K$10—$876K
Mark Davis
$67K——$67K
7 defeated candidates — show finances
CandidateRaised directlyOutside forOutside againstNet in corner
Vern Buchanan(R)incumbentdefeated
$933K——$933K
Tamika Lyles(D)defeated
$122K——$122K
Jonathan Harris(D)defeated
$86K——$86K
Jan Schneider(D)defeated
$62K——$62K
Glenn Keith Pearson(D)defeated
$51K——$51K
Edward Peter Pope(R)defeated
$49K——$49K
Jason Edward Speir(R)defeated
− CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. $860K
$45K—$860K−$815K
Where the money comes from

In-state vs out-of-state

Share of each candidate's itemized individual contributions from donors inside FL versus the rest of the country. Excludes sub-$200 unitemized donations (no geography on file) and PAC money — see note below.

Sydney Gruters(R)89% in-state · $1.0M itemized
$924K in-state$119K out-of-state
Kelly Kirschner(D)93% in-state · $261K itemized
$242K in-state$18K out-of-state
Mark Davis39% in-state · $8K itemized
$3K in-state$5K out-of-state
6 defeated candidates — show
Vern Buchanan(R)defeated67% in-state · $343K itemized
$228K in-state$115K out-of-state
Tamika Lyles(D)defeated26% in-state · $97K itemized
$25K in-state$72K out-of-state
Jonathan Harris(D)defeated79% in-state · $12K itemized
$9K in-state$3K out-of-state
Jan Schneider(D)defeated57% in-state · $17K itemized
$10K in-state$7K out-of-state
Glenn Keith Pearson(D)defeated84% in-state · $30K itemized
$25K in-state$5K out-of-state
Jason Edward Speir(R)defeated77% in-state · $40K itemized
$30K in-state$9K out-of-state
What's counted, what isn't

Candidate-direct is each campaign's reported receipts on FEC Schedule A — individual contributions plus PAC contributions to the candidate's own committee — through the most recent filing.

Outside spending is independent expenditures on FEC Schedule E: money spent by PACs, super PACs, and party committees for or against a candidate, without legal coordination with the campaign. The committees listed under each candidate are the largest disclosed spenders on either side.

In-state vs out-of-state covers only itemized individual contributions — donations over $200, which are the only ones that carry a contributor address at the FEC. Sub-$200 unitemized donations (often a large share for grassroots campaigns) have no geography on file and are excluded, as is PAC money. So the percentages describe where a candidate's itemized individual money comes from, not where every dollar raised comes from.

Not counted: 501(c)(4) "social welfare" organizations run issue ads that frequently mention candidates by name but aren't classified as express advocacy under FEC rules — they file no Schedule E and don't appear in this breakdown. Press reporting on a race may cite figures that include this dark-money spending; ours doesn't.

Where they stand

Issue-by-issue comparison

Positions extracted from each candidate's campaign issues page by AI. Contested rows — where candidates disagree with each other — appear first.

StatementGrutersKirschnerDavisYou
Immigrationcontested
The U.S. should do more to enforce immigration laws and secure the border.
—
Veterans
The VA should cover more veterans and more health conditions.
—
Economy
Reducing the national debt should be a higher priority than new spending.
—
Economy
Tariffs on foreign goods should be used to protect American jobs.
—
Education
Parents should be able to use public funds — through vouchers — to send their kids to private or charter schools.
—
Environment
Government environmental reviews for energy and infrastructure projects should move faster, even if it means fewer reviews.
—
Healthcare
Medicare should be allowed to negotiate lower prescription drug prices.
—
Housing
The government should spend more building affordable housing.
—
Governance & Other
Outside political spending — from PACs and super PACs — should be limited more strictly.
—
Social Security
Future workers should have to wait longer to collect full Social Security.
—
Taxes
People making over $400,000 a year should pay higher taxes.
—
Taxes
Corporate taxes should be lower.
—
Trade
Presidents should be able to impose broad tariffs unilaterally under emergency powers (IEEPA-style authority).
—

SupportsOpposesNo public positionRinged = confirmed by the campaign

Recent coverage

In the news

About this race page

Candidate roster is sourced from the FEC's active-candidate list for the 2026 cycle. Fundraising totals reflect committee filings through the last reporting period.

Alignment % compares the candidate's extracted policy positions against your quiz answers. Positions are pulled from the candidate's campaign issues page by AI; we save the source quote for each position so you can verify the extraction. Candidates without a campaign issues page show position data pending — we're working through the roster and re-checking stale extractions every 90 days.

News coverage is from the GDELT 2.0 global news feed, filtered to a curated list of national, political, and regional outlets.