2026 race

MN-07 — U.S. House

2 candidates on the November ballot. Incumbent: Michelle Fischbach.

Read the record. Not the rhetoric.

See where these candidates stand — and who's funding them.

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How we got here · 2 earlier contests
Democratic primary · Tuesday, August 11, 2026
Called by CBS News / AP
Erik OsbergWon65.7%
Republican primary · Tuesday, August 11, 2026
Called by audit: web-verified
Michelle FischbachWon
Election held
Counting
Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Results appear here once a race is called and verified. Official returns from the Minnesota Secretary of State.

Disclosed money in race
$2.3M
Candidate + outside spending. See finance breakdown below.
Incumbent

Currently in office

Challengers

Sorted by fundraising

Erik Osberg

D
ChallengerFEC H6MN07312

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Raised this cycle$577K
Cash on hand: $127K
2 defeated candidates — show

Heather Keeler

DDefeated
ChallengerFEC H6MN07338

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Raised this cycle$63K
Cash on hand: $984

Dave Hughes

RDefeated
ChallengerFEC H6MN07346

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Raised this cycle$26K
Cash on hand: $417
Local signal

Early read on MN-07 — U.S. House

A directional read on where this seat is trending, from the signals we have so far. This is an early scaffold — more inputs light up as coverage and constituent activity accrue.

Coverage tone · the matchup
Recent news coverage of the nominees heading to the general election.
Michelle Fischbachleans negative
0 pos9 neutral2 neg11 articles
Erik Osbergleans positive
1 pos6 neutral0 neg7 articles
A media signal, not a poll of the district.
Constituent stakes
No one here has staked a position on a tracked vote yet. As neighbors weigh in on /pressure campaigns, the district's lean will show up here.
Money in the race

Finance breakdown

Disclosed funding shaping this race — both the money candidates raise themselves and the outside spending dropped by independent groups. Issue-ad spending by 501(c)(4) groups is excluded; the FEC doesn't require disclosure of it. See the note below for details.

Candidate fundraising: FEC reports through October 14, 2026 · 2025–26 cycle

Total disclosed
$2.3M
Candidate fundraising + independent expenditures (FEC).
Candidate-direct (Schedule A)
$2.3M
Raised by candidate committees themselves.
Outside spending (Schedule E)
$457
$286 for · $171 against
CandidateRaised directlyOutside forOutside againstNet in corner
Michelle Fischbach(R)incumbent
+ MINNESOTA CITIZENS CONCERNED FOR LIFE, INC. FEDERAL PAC $286
− MINNESOTA DEMOCRATIC-FARMER-LABOR PARTY $171
$1.7M$286$171$1.7M
Erik Osberg(D)
$577K——$577K
2 defeated candidates — show finances
CandidateRaised directlyOutside forOutside againstNet in corner
Heather Keeler(D)defeated
$63K——$63K
Dave Hughes(R)defeated
$26K——$26K
Where the money comes from

In-state vs out-of-state

Share of each candidate's itemized individual contributions from donors inside MN versus the rest of the country. Excludes sub-$200 unitemized donations (no geography on file) and PAC money — see note below.

Michelle Fischbach(R)63% in-state · $522K itemized
$329K in-state$193K out-of-state
Erik Osberg(D)93% in-state · $179K itemized
$166K in-state$13K out-of-state
2 defeated candidates — show
Heather Keeler(D)defeated93% in-state · $36K itemized
$33K in-state$3K out-of-state
Dave Hughes(R)defeated96% in-state · $19K itemized
$18K in-state$750 out-of-state
What's counted, what isn't

Candidate-direct is each campaign's reported receipts on FEC Schedule A — individual contributions plus PAC contributions to the candidate's own committee — through the most recent filing.

Outside spending is independent expenditures on FEC Schedule E: money spent by PACs, super PACs, and party committees for or against a candidate, without legal coordination with the campaign. The committees listed under each candidate are the largest disclosed spenders on either side.

In-state vs out-of-state covers only itemized individual contributions — donations over $200, which are the only ones that carry a contributor address at the FEC. Sub-$200 unitemized donations (often a large share for grassroots campaigns) have no geography on file and are excluded, as is PAC money. So the percentages describe where a candidate's itemized individual money comes from, not where every dollar raised comes from.

Not counted: 501(c)(4) "social welfare" organizations run issue ads that frequently mention candidates by name but aren't classified as express advocacy under FEC rules — they file no Schedule E and don't appear in this breakdown. Press reporting on a race may cite figures that include this dark-money spending; ours doesn't.

Where they stand

Issue-by-issue comparison

Positions extracted from each candidate's campaign issues page by AI. Contested rows — where candidates disagree with each other — appear first.

StatementFischbachOsbergYou
Abortion
Tax dollars should not pay for abortions.
—
Abortion
Each state should set its own abortion laws.
—
Agriculture
Federal farm subsidies should be reduced and redirected toward smaller producers.
—
Criminal Justice
The federal government should send more money to local police departments.
—
Economy
Reducing the national debt should be a higher priority than new spending.
—
Education
Parents should be able to use public funds — through vouchers — to send their kids to private or charter schools.
—
Education
Federal Title IX protections should explicitly include sexual orientation and gender identity.
—
Guns
Civilian ownership of AR-15-style rifles should be restricted.
—
Healthcare
The government should provide healthcare for everyone.
—
Healthcare
Medicare should be allowed to negotiate lower prescription drug prices.
—
Healthcare
Enhanced ACA premium subsidies should be made permanent at expanded levels.
—
Immigration
The U.S. should do more to enforce immigration laws and secure the border.
—
Governance & Other
Outside political spending — from PACs and super PACs — should be limited more strictly.
—
Trade
Congress should pursue new bilateral free-trade agreements with U.S. allies.
—
Veterans
The VA should cover more veterans and more health conditions.
—

SupportsOpposesNo public positionRinged = confirmed by the campaign

Recent coverage

In the news

About this race page

Candidate roster is sourced from the FEC's active-candidate list for the 2026 cycle. Fundraising totals reflect committee filings through the last reporting period.

Alignment % compares the candidate's extracted policy positions against your quiz answers. Positions are pulled from the candidate's campaign issues page by AI; we save the source quote for each position so you can verify the extraction. Candidates without a campaign issues page show position data pending — we're working through the roster and re-checking stale extractions every 90 days.

News coverage is from the GDELT 2.0 global news feed, filtered to a curated list of national, political, and regional outlets.