2026 race

PA-16 — U.S. House

2 candidates on the November ballot. Incumbent: Mike Kelly.

Read the record. Not the rhetoric.

See where these candidates stand — and who's funding them.

DeepSyte tracks the money and the record in every race against the issues you care about — not party, not press releases. Take the 2-minute values quiz to see your alignment.

How we got here · 2 earlier contests
Democratic primary · Tuesday, May 19, 2026
Called by audit: web-verified
Justin Reed WagnerWon
Republican primary · Tuesday, May 19, 2026
Called by audit: web-verified
Mike KellyWon
Election held
Counting
Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Results appear here once a race is called and verified. Official returns from the Pennsylvania Department of State.

Disclosed money in race
$1.7M
Candidate + outside spending. See finance breakdown below.
Incumbent

Currently in office

Challengers

Sorted by fundraising

Justin Reed Wagner

D
ChallengerFEC H6PA16379

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Raised this cycle$247K
Cash on hand: $63K
Local signal

Early read on PA-16 — U.S. House

A directional read on where this seat is trending, from the signals we have so far. This is an early scaffold — more inputs light up as coverage and constituent activity accrue.

Coverage tone · the matchup
Recent news coverage of the nominees heading to the general election.
Mike Kellymixed
0 pos3 neutral0 neg3 articles
Justin Reed Wagnerlimited coverage
No coverage in our tracked outlets in the last 90 days.
A media signal, not a poll of the district.
Constituent stakes
No one here has staked a position on a tracked vote yet. As neighbors weigh in on /pressure campaigns, the district's lean will show up here.
Money in the race

Finance breakdown

Disclosed funding shaping this race — both the money candidates raise themselves and the outside spending dropped by independent groups. Issue-ad spending by 501(c)(4) groups is excluded; the FEC doesn't require disclosure of it. See the note below for details.

Candidate fundraising: FEC reports through October 14, 2026 · 2025–26 cycle

Total disclosed
$1.7M
Candidate fundraising + independent expenditures (FEC).
Candidate-direct (Schedule A)
$1.7M
Raised by candidate committees themselves.
Outside spending (Schedule E)
$23
$0 for · $23 against
CandidateRaised directlyOutside forOutside againstNet in corner
Mike Kelly(R)incumbent
$1.4M——$1.4M
Justin Reed Wagner(D)
− PENNSYLVANIA PRO-LIFE FEDERATION PAC $23
$247K—$23$247K
Where the money comes from

In-state vs out-of-state

Share of each candidate's itemized individual contributions from donors inside PA versus the rest of the country. Excludes sub-$200 unitemized donations (no geography on file) and PAC money — see note below.

Mike Kelly(R)24% in-state · $288K itemized
$69K in-state$219K out-of-state
Justin Reed Wagner(D)85% in-state · $35K itemized
$29K in-state$5K out-of-state
What's counted, what isn't

Candidate-direct is each campaign's reported receipts on FEC Schedule A — individual contributions plus PAC contributions to the candidate's own committee — through the most recent filing.

Outside spending is independent expenditures on FEC Schedule E: money spent by PACs, super PACs, and party committees for or against a candidate, without legal coordination with the campaign. The committees listed under each candidate are the largest disclosed spenders on either side.

In-state vs out-of-state covers only itemized individual contributions — donations over $200, which are the only ones that carry a contributor address at the FEC. Sub-$200 unitemized donations (often a large share for grassroots campaigns) have no geography on file and are excluded, as is PAC money. So the percentages describe where a candidate's itemized individual money comes from, not where every dollar raised comes from.

Not counted: 501(c)(4) "social welfare" organizations run issue ads that frequently mention candidates by name but aren't classified as express advocacy under FEC rules — they file no Schedule E and don't appear in this breakdown. Press reporting on a race may cite figures that include this dark-money spending; ours doesn't.

Where they stand

Issue-by-issue comparison

Positions extracted from each candidate's campaign issues page by AI. Contested rows — where candidates disagree with each other — appear first.

StatementKellyWagnerYou
Taxescontested
People making over $400,000 a year should pay higher taxes.
—
Taxescontested
Corporate taxes should be lower.
—
Abortion
A national law should protect access to abortion in every state.
—
Abortion
Tax dollars should not pay for abortions.
—
Abortion
Access to contraception should be guaranteed by federal law in all states (Right to Contraception Act).
—
Economy
The federal minimum wage should be raised.
—
Economy
Reducing the national debt should be a higher priority than new spending.
—
Education
Parents should be able to use public funds — through vouchers — to send their kids to private or charter schools.
—
Education
Education policy should be set by states, not the federal Department of Education.
—
Environment
The government should set legally enforceable limits on greenhouse gas emissions.
—
Environment
Federal permitting and subsidies for new nuclear power plants should be expanded.
—
Foreign Policy
The U.S. should spend more on the military.
—
Foreign Policy
Conditions on U.S. military aid to Israel — tied to humanitarian or human-rights compliance — should be strengthened.
—
Healthcare
The government should provide healthcare for everyone.
—
Housing
The government should spend more building affordable housing.
—
Immigration
People who were brought to the U.S. illegally as children should have a path to citizenship.
—
Immigration
The U.S. should do more to enforce immigration laws and secure the border.
—
Judicial Reform
Supreme Court justices should be bound by a binding code of ethics enforceable by Congress.
—
Labor
Federal labor law should make it easier for workers to form unions (PRO Act-style reforms).
—
Governance & Other
There should be term limits for senators and representatives.
—
Governance & Other
Outside political spending — from PACs and super PACs — should be limited more strictly.
—
Social Security
High earners should pay Social Security taxes on more of their income.
—
Technology
There should be a national law protecting personal data online.
—
Veterans
The VA should cover more veterans and more health conditions.
—

SupportsOpposesNo public positionRinged = confirmed by the campaign

About this race page

Candidate roster is sourced from the FEC's active-candidate list for the 2026 cycle. Fundraising totals reflect committee filings through the last reporting period.

Alignment % compares the candidate's extracted policy positions against your quiz answers. Positions are pulled from the candidate's campaign issues page by AI; we save the source quote for each position so you can verify the extraction. Candidates without a campaign issues page show position data pending — we're working through the roster and re-checking stale extractions every 90 days.

News coverage is from the GDELT 2.0 global news feed, filtered to a curated list of national, political, and regional outlets.