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Class 2 · 2026 cycle · 44 days out

Senate races to watch

Every class-2 Senate race, sorted by challenger fundraising as a share of the incumbent's war chest. 50%+ challenger ratio means the seat is being meaningfully contested at the money level. Retiring incumbents sort to the top because their seats are open regardless of the dollar math.

Caveat: fundraising momentum isn't outcome — incumbents win 90%+ of contested races even when outraised. This board is about attention, not prediction.

StateIncumbentInc. raisedChallengersTop challengerCompete %
TX
Texas
John Cornyn(R)
Nominees setTalarico (D) vs Paxton (R)
R runoff: Paxton 63.8% def. Cornyn (inc.) · D primary: Talarico 52.4% def. Crockett
—5
James Talarico
D · $40M
999%
SC
South Carolina
Darline Graham(R)
Nominees setAndrews (D) vs Graham (R)
R primary: Graham def. Cowen, Herrmann, Lynch, Mitchell, Dismukes · D primary: Andrews 61.5% def. Brown, Freeman
—2
Annie Andrews
D · $6.5M
999%
LA
Louisiana
Bill Cassidy(R)$6.7M12
John Fleming
R · $11M
273%
MA
Massachusetts
Edward J. Markey(D)$3.8M7
Seth Moulton
D · $4.3M
155%
AK
Alaska
Dan Sullivan(R)$6.5M2
Mary Peltola
D · $8.7M
133%
ME
Maine
Susan M. Collins(R)
Nominees setPlatner (D) vs Collins (R)
$10M3
Graham Platner
D · $12M
115%
MI
Michigan
Gary C. Peters(D)
Retiring
$201K6
Haley Stevens
D · $8.9M
OPEN
MN
Minnesota
Tina Smith(D)
Retiring
R primary: Tafoya 52.6% def. Schwarze, White
$49K4
Angie Craig
D · $9.3M
OPEN
IL
Illinois
Richard J. Durbin(D)
Retiring
Nominees setStratton (D) vs Tracy (R)
D primary: Stratton 40.4% def. Krishnamoorthi, Kelly, Ryan · R primary: Tracy 40% def. Evans, Chlebek, Capparelli, Long, Tillman
—4
Juliana Stratton
D · $4.8M
OPEN
MT
Montana
Steve Daines(R)
Retiring
Nominees setBankhead (D) vs Alme (R)
D primary: Bankhead 43.7% def. Neill, Blackwolf, Kehoe · R primary: Alme 76.2% def. Calhoun, Walkingchild
—4
Seth Bodnar
I · $1.4M
OPEN
IA
Iowa
Joni Ernst(R)
Retiring
Nominees setTurek (D) vs Arenholz (R)
R primary: Arenholz 73.9% def. Carlin · D primary: Turek 62.6% def. Wahls
—3
Ashley Hinson Arenholz
R · $7.3M
OPEN
KY
Kentucky
Mitch McConnell(R)
Retiring
Nominees setBooker (D) vs Barr (R)
R primary: Barr 60.5% def. Cameron
—3
Garland Andy Barr
R · $8.0M
OPEN
NC
North Carolina
Thomas Tillis(R)
Retiring
Nominees setCooper (D) vs Whatley (R)
R primary: Whatley 64.6% def. Brown, Johnson, Morrow
—3
Roy Cooper
D · $27M
OPEN
OK
Oklahoma
Alan Armstrong(R)
Retiring
Nominees setThomas (D) vs Hern (R)
D runoff: Thomas 61.2% def. Priest
—3
Kevin Hern
R · $8.3M
OPEN
AL
Alabama
Tommy Tuberville(R)
Retiring
Nominees setWess (D) vs Moore (R)
R runoff: Moore 60% def. Hudson · D runoff: Wess 54.6% def. Larriett
—2
Felix Barry Moore
R · $2.2M
OPEN
NH
New Hampshire
Jeanne Shaheen(D)
Retiring
Nominees setPappas (D) vs Sununu (R)
D primary: Pappas def. Manzur · R primary: Sununu 69% def. Brown
—2
Chris Pappas
D · $9.9M
OPEN
WY
Wyoming
Cynthia M. Lummis(R)
Retiring
Nominees setByrd (D) vs Hageman (R)
D primary: Byrd 79.3% def. Benavidez · R primary: Hageman 62.7% def. Mead
—2
Harriet Hageman
R · $1.6M
OPEN
NE
Nebraska
Pete Ricketts(R)
Nominees setBurbank (D) vs Ricketts (R)
R primary: Ricketts 81.5% def. Axtell Schultz · D primary: Burbank 89.5% def. Forbes
$4.9M2
Dan Osborn
I · $3.9M
79%
MS
Mississippi
Cindy Hyde-Smith(R)
Nominees setColom (D) vs Hyde-smith (R)
R primary: Hyde-smith 80.8% def. Adlakha · D primary: Colom 72.9% def. Till, Littell
$3.4M2
Scott Colom
D · $1.6M
50%
SD
South Dakota
Mike Rounds(R)
Nominees setBeaudion (D) vs Rounds (R)
R primary: Rounds 75.8% def. Mcneal
$2.4M2
Brian Bengs
I · $565K
31%
AR
Arkansas
Tom Cotton(R)
Nominees setShoffner (D) vs Cotton (R)
R primary: Cotton 81.6% def. Ashby, Little · D primary: Shoffner 78.3% def. Dunbar
$5.4M2
Hallie Shoffner
D · $1.6M
29%
ID
Idaho
James E. Risch(R)
Nominees setRoth (D) vs Risch (R)
R primary: Risch def. Evans, Lave, Roy · D primary: Roth 61.9% def. Bonds
$2.7M2
Todd Baker Achilles
I · $413K
15%
GA
Georgia
Jon Ossoff(D)
Nominees setOssoff (D) vs Collins (R)
R runoff: Collins 55% def. Dooley
$57M1
Michael Collins
R · $4.3M
8%
CO
Colorado
John W. Hickenlooper(D)
Nominees setHickenlooper (D) vs Baisley (R)
D primary: Hickenlooper 57% def. Gonzales
$6.8M4
Robert Chew
? · $150K
5%
DE
Delaware
Christopher A. Coons(D)$3.0M4
John Shulli
R · $101K
5%
RI
Rhode Island
Jack Reed(D)
Nominees setReed (D) vs Mckay (R)
D primary: Reed 76% def. Burbridge, Munoz
$2.6M2
Raymond Tyler McKay
R · $140K
5%
OR
Oregon
Jeff Merkley(D)
Nominees setMerkley (D) vs Smith (R)
R primary: Smith 29.5% def. Perkins, Mcalmond
$3.8M1
David Brock Smith
R · $24K
1%
VA
Virginia
Mark R. Warner(D)
Nominees setWarner (D) vs Mizusawa (R)
R primary: Mizusawa 51% def. Williams, Farington
$15M1
Bert Mizusawa
R · $192K
1%
WV
West Virginia
Shelley Moore Capito(R)
Nominees setFetty Anderson (D) vs Capito (R)
R primary: Capito 66.5% def. Willis · D primary: Fetty Anderson 33.2% def. Kessler, Shrewsbury, Phillips
$3.9M1
Rachel Lee Fetty Anderson
D · $22K
1%
TN
Tennessee
Bill Hagerty(R)
Nominees setBradshaw (D) vs Hagerty (R)
D primary: Bradshaw 54.8% def. Brewer, Mccants
$5.9M3No itemized fundraising yet0%
NJ
New Jersey
Cory A. Booker(D)
Nominees setBooker (D) vs Murphy (R)
R primary: Murphy 33.3% def. Tabor, Zdan, Lebovics
$17M2
Justin Michael Llm Murphy
R · $10K
0%
KS
Kansas
Roger Marshall(R)
Nominees setHamilton (D) vs Marshall (R)
$3.3M1No itemized fundraising yet0%
NM
New Mexico
Ben Ray Luján(D)
Nominees setLujan (D) vs Marker (R)
D primary: Lujan 83.7% def. Dodson
$4.7M1
Larry Marker
R · $17K
0%